NRL 2023 Round 5 – Betting Tips, Odds & Predictions

By:
James Salmon
02/04/2023
NRL Betting Tips
NRL 2023 Round 5

It’s been a thrilling start to the NRL season, and that continued in Round Four with a number of close results. This weekend, that trend looks set to resume. It kicks off with a clash between the Roosters and Eels, while other big games include the Rabbitohs vs Storm, Raiders vs Panthers, and Cowboys vs Bulldogs. With that in mind, let’s take a deep dive into every game set to take place in Round Five.

Round 5 Fixtures

FixturesInfo (AEST)Home OddsAway Odds
Roosters vs EelsThursday, 30th March, 8.00pm$1.53$2.50
Raiders vs PanthersFriday, 31st March, 6.00pm$3.70$1.28
Rabbitohs vs StormFriday, 31st March, 8.00pm$1.55$2.45
Sea Eagles vs KnightsSaturday, 1st April, 3.00pm$1.20$4.50
Dragons vs DolphinsSaturday, 1st April, 5.30pm$1.77$2.05
Broncos vs TigersSaturday, 1st April, 7.35pm$1.17$5.00
Sharks vs WarriorsSunday, 2nd April, 4.00pm$1.30$3.55
Bulldogs vs CowboysSunday, 2nd April, 6.15pm$2.00$1.80

Sydney Roosters vs Parramatta Eels

Round Five of the NRL season kicks off with a huge game between a 2022 Grand Finalist, and a team with high hopes of reaching that day this year. Neither of these teams started the season exactly as planned; the Roosters went down to the Dolphins in their season-opener, while the Eels lost their first three games by four points. The Roosters, however, bounced back to win their next two before enjoying a bye last week, while the Eels finally got on the board with an impressive one-point win over the team which demolished them in last year’s Grand Final in the Panthers. The Eels 1-3 record doesn’t look great, but they have been handed a brutal draw by the league to start the year and could feasibly have won every game they’ve played in. The Roosters, meanwhile, certainly have another gear to go to, and they may need to do so this weekend to beat the Eels. On their home turf they deserve to be favourites, but Parramatta have been a lot better than their record suggests thus far this season and could go very close to snatching this one.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Roosters to win$1.53
Roosters 1-12$3.25
Eels +5.5$1.87

Predicted Squads

Sydney RoostersSydney Roosters: 1. James Tedesco 2. Daniel Tupou 3. Joseph Suaalii 4. Drew Hutchison 5. Jaxson Paulo 6. Luke Keary 7. Sam Walker 8. Brandon Smith 9. Lindsay Collins 10. Egan Butcher 11. Nat Butcher 12. Victor Radley 13. Jake Turpin 14. Terrell May 15. Fletcher Baker 16. Naufahu Whyte

Parramatta EelsParramatta Eels: 1. Clint Gutherson 2. Maika Sivo 3. Will Penisini 4. Waqa Blake 5. Waqa Blake 6. Dylan Brown 7. Mitchell Moses 8. Reagan Campbell-Gillard 9. Josh Hodgson 10. Makahesi Makatoa 11. Bryce Cartwright 12. Bryce Cartwright 13. J’maine Hopgood 14. Matt Doorey 15. Brendan Hands 16. Wiremu Greig 17. Jirah Momoisea

Canberra Raiders vs Penrith Panthers

After needing to storm home in the latter stages of last season to sneak into the finals, the Raiders would have been hoping for an improved start to 2023. Unfortunately, they’ve done the opposite, winning just one of their first four games including a woeful ten-point defeat at the hands of the Knights last week, and it doesn’t get any easier in Round 5 when they welcome the Panthers to GIO Stadium. Having said that, the Panthers have lost two of their first three as well, but given that both those losses were by a point, it’s unlikely they’ll be too concerned at this point in time. Canberra is an exciting team at their best, but they’ve struggled to find that best so far this season. The Panthers might not exactly be putting out what they’re capable of either, but an underperforming Penrith is a lot better than an underperforming Canberra. The visitors should be able to notch up their second win of the season here.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Panthers to win$1.28
Panthers 1-12$3.00
Raiders +11.5$1.87

Predicted Squads

Canberra RaidersCanberra Raiders: 1. Sebastian Kris  2. Jordan Rapana 3. Matthew Timoko 4. Matthew Timoko 5. Albert Hopoate 6. Jack Wighton 7. Jamal Fogarty 8. Josh Papalii 9. Zac Woolford 10. Zac Woolford 11. Emre Guler 12. Emre Guler 13. Emre Guler 14. Corey Harawira-Naera 15. Tom Starling 16. Pasami Saulo 17. Pasami Saulo 18. Emre Guler

Penrith PanthersPenrith Panthers: 1. Dylan Edwards 2. Dylan Edwards 3. Izack Tago 4. Izack Tago 5. Brian To'o  6. Jarome Luai 7. Nathan Cleary 8. Nathan Cleary 9. Mitch Kenny 10. Mitch Kenny 11. Mitch Kenny 12. Liam Martin 13. Isaah Yeo 14.Jaeman Salmon15. Scott Sorensen 16. Spencer Leniu 17. Zac Hosking

South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Melbourne Storm

Saturday’s action kicks off with a big game between two Premiership contenders who have split their first four games 2-2. The Rabbitohs first month, however, has been a little more impressive than that of the Storm. The Bunnies were handed a really tough draw to start by the league, but have beaten the Sharks as well as the in-form Sea Eagles while going down in tight games to the Panthers and the Roosters. The Storm, meanwhile, could feasibly have expected to be 4-0, but have lost to both the Titans and the Bulldogs. They were, at least, a little better in last weekend’s 24-12 win, but the Bunnies this weekend will pose a far greater threat than the Tigers did last weekend. This should be a ferocious contest which both teams are capable of winning, but the Rabbitohs are never easy to beat on their home deck. They can earn their third win of the season in a tight one.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Rabbitohs to win$1.55
Rabbitohs 1-12$3.25
Storm +4.5$1.87

Predicted Squads

South Sydney RabbitohsSouth Sydney Rabbitohs: 1. Latrell Mitchell 2. Alex Johnston  3. Isaiah Tass 4. Isaiah Tass 5. Izaac Thompson  6. Cody Walker 7. Lachlan Ilias 8. Hame Sele 9. Damien Cook 10. Thomas Burgess 11. Keaon Koloamatangi 12. Jacob Host 13. Cameron Murray 14. Michael Chee Kam 15. Daniel Suluka-Fifita 16. Davvy Moale 17. Jed Cartwright 

Melbourne Storm

Melbourne Storm: 1. Nick Meaney 2. Will Warbrick 3. Reimis Smith 4. Reimis Smith 5. Xavier Coates 6. Cameron Munster 7. Jonah Pezet 8. Tui Kamikamica 9. Harry Grant 10. Christian Welch 11. Trent Loiero 12. Eliesa Katoa 13. Josh King 14. Tyran Wishart 15. Alec MacDonald 16. Tariq Sims 17. Bronson Garlick

  • The Cowboys have beaten the Bulldogs four of the last five times the two sides have met.
  • Games between the Rabbitohs and the Storm are typically close, with eight of the last ten being decided by 12 points or less.
  • The Knights were prone to losing by big margins last year, with 13 of their 18 defeats coming by 14 points or more.

Multi of the Week

LegsOdds
Cowboys 1-12$3.10
Rabbitohs 1-12$2.90
Sea Eagles 13+$1.80
Bet 10 for $161.82  with PlayUp

Manly Sea Eagles vs Newcastle Knights

The Sea Eagles have started the season in terrific form, knocking off the Bulldogs with ease in Round One before holding off the Eels in their second game. They lost their first game for the season last week, but they were hardly disgraced, going down by just a point to the Rabbitohs. The Knights, meanwhile, lost two of their first three despite playing the Warriors, Tigers and Dolphins – not an ideal start – but then beat last year’s semi-finalists, the Raiders, relatively comfortably on Sunday. As impressive as that win was though, it’s hard to see them repeating it against Manly. Just a month in, the Sea Eagles look like they are capable of, at the very least, playing finals footy this year, with a healthy Tom Trbojevic unsurprisingly making an enormous difference to their fortunes. They should be able to get back on the winners’ list with a comfortable win here. 

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Sea Eagles to win$1.20
Sea Eagles 13+$1.70
Sea Eagles -14.5$1.87

Predicted Squads

Manly Warringah Sea EaglesManly Sea Eagles: 1. Tom Trbojevic 2. Christian Tuipulotu 3. Brad Parker  4. Tolutau Koula 5. Tolutau Koula 6. Josh Schuster 7. Daly Cherry-Evans 8. Taniela Paseka 9. Lachlan Croker 10. Jake Trbojevic 11. Haumole Olakau’atu 12. Kelma Tuilagi 13. Josh Aloiai 14. Kaeo Weekes 15. Kaeo Weekes 16. Karl Lawton 17. Sean Keppie

Newcastle Knights

Newcastle Knights: 1. Lachlan Miller 2. Hymel Hunt 3. Dane Gagai 4. Bradman Best 5. Greg Marzhew 6. Greg Marzhew 7. Greg Marzhew 8. Daniel Saifiti 9. Daniel Saifiti 10. Leo Thompson 11. Tyson Frizell 12. Tyson Frizell 13. Tyson Frizell 14. Tyson Frizell 15. Tyson Frizell 16. Mat Croker 17. Brodie Jones

St. George Illawarra Dragons vs The Dolphins

The Dragons 14-point win in their opening game of the season is already a distant memory after a couple of disastrous losses in their subsequent two games. After being demolished by 22 points by the Broncos, things got even worse last Sunday when they were humiliated to the tune of 32 points by the Sharks. Now, they have a matchup which, prior to the season, would have loomed as perhaps the easiest kill in the league. The reality, however, is far from that. The Dolphins finally lost the first game in their history last weekend after three consecutive wins to start the year, but they were far from disgraced, going down by six points to the rampaging Broncos. It’s still hard to imagine that they are a legitimately good team but so far, they haven’t put in a poor performance, and a month into the season their form is beginning to look like more than just that. If they are a legitimately decent team, they need to come away from WIN Stadium with a victory. 

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
The Dolphins$2.05
The Dolphins 1-12$3.40
The Dolphins +1.5$1.87

Predicted Squads

St. George Illawarra DragonsSt. George Illawarra Dragons: 1. Tyrell Sloan 2. Mat Feagai 3. Mat Feagai 4. Zac Lomax 5. Zac Lomax 6. Jayden Sullivan 7. Ben Hunt 8. Jack de Belin 9. Moses Mbye 10. Blake Lawrie 11. Ben Murdoch-Masila 12. Jaydn Su’A 13. Jack Bird 14. Jacob Liddle  15. Jacob Liddle  16. Francis Molo 17. Josh Kerr

DolphinsThe Dolphins: 1. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow 2. Jamayne Isaako 3. Euan Aitken  4. Brenko Lee 5. Edrick Lee 6. Edrick Lee 7. Isaiya Katoa 8. Jesse Bromwich 9. Jesse Bromwich 10. Poasa Faamausili 11. Kenneath Bromwich 12. Connelly Lemuelu 13. Tom Gilbert 14. Kodi Nikorima 15. Mark Nicholls 16. Ray Stone 17. Jarrod Wallace

Brisbane Broncos vs Wests Tigers

With the Sea Eagles losing by a point to the Rabbitohs, the Broncos’ win over The Dolphins means they are the only remaining undefeated team in the NRL one month into the season. After starting the year in the best possible fashion with a one-point win over the Panthers in Penrith, they were too good for the Cowboys and then dominated the Dragons, and though they left it till late against The Dolphins last weekend, they ultimately won the game by six points despite failing to convert three of four tries. This weekend, their winning streak doesn’t look like being in too much danger. The Tigers were expected to be stuck towards the bottom of the ladder again this season, and nothing they’ve done over the first month has done anything to change that. They’ve been competitive in every game, at least, but despite that they’re the only winless team in the league. There are no easy wins in the NRL, but if there were, this would be one. 

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Broncos to win$1.17
Broncos 13+$1.70
Broncos -15.5$1.87

Predicted Squads

Brisbane BroncosBrisbane Broncos: 1. Reece Walsh 2. Jesse Arthars 3. Kotoni Staggs 4. Kotoni Staggs 5. Selwyn Cobbo 6. Ezra Mam7. Ezra Mam 8. Tom Flegler  9. Billy Walters 10. Payne Haas  11. Kurt Capewell 12. Jordan Riki 13. Patrick Carrigan 14. Cory Paix 15. Cory Paix 16. Corey Jensen 17. Martin Taupau

Wests TigersWests Tigers: 1. Adam Doueihi 2. Charlie Staines 3. Brent Naden 4. Asu Kepaoa 5. Junior Tupou 6. Brandon Wakeham 7. Luke Brooks 8.Stefano Utoikamanu 9. Api Koroisau 10. David Klemmer 11. Isaiah Papali'i 12. John Bateman 13. Fonua Pole 14. Daine Laurie  15. Daine Laurie  16. Shawn Blore 17. Shawn Blore

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Cronulla Sharks vs New Zealand Warriors

The Sharks of 2022 returned in Round Four, putting on a dominant display against the hapless Dragons which saw them run away 40-8 winners. The victory came after an indifferent start to the year which saw them drop two of their first two games, their solitary victory coming by four points against the Eels. Now, they get a great chance to make it two on the trot when they host the Warriors. But while they should get the points, the Warriors might not make it as easy as they have in the past. They’ve won three of their first four games to start the year, the latest a two-point victory over the Bulldogs last Sunday. With wins against the Cowboys and Knights already to their name and a competitive loss to the Roosters, they should be able to avoid a blowout in Cronulla, but the Sharks should still be too strong.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Sharks to win$1.30
Sharks 1-12$3.10
Warriors +10.5$1.87

Predicted Squads

Cronulla-Sutherland SharksCronulla Sharks: 1. Will Kennedy 2. Sione Katoa 3. Jesse Ramien  4. Siosifa Talakai 5. Siosifa Talakai 6. Siosifa Talakai 7. Nicho Hynes 8. Toby Rudolf 9. Blayke Brailey10. Braden Hamlin-Uele 11. Briton Nikora 12. Teig Wilton 13. Dale Finucane 14. Cameron McInnes 15. Royce Hunt 16. Oregon Kaufusi 17. Jack Williams

New Zealand WarriorsNew Zealand Warriors: 1. Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad 2. Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad 3. Viliami Vailea 4. Adam Pompey 5. Marcelo Montoya  6. Te Maire Martin 7. Shaun Johnson 8. Addin Fonua-Blake 9. Wayde Egan 10. Bunty Afoa 11. Jackson Ford 12. Marata Niukore 13. Mitch Barnett 14. Mitch Barnett 15. Bayley Sironen 16. Jazz Tevaga 17. Tom Ale

Canterbury Bulldogs vs North Queensland Cowboys

The Bulldogs were just 15 minutes away from making it three consecutive wins on the trot after a dreadful start to the season which saw them go down by 25 points to the Sea Eagles. A 66th minute Shaun Johnson try and conversion, however, saw them go down by two points to the Warriors to take their record to 2-2. Also with a 2-2 record are the Cowboys, though while the Bulldogs start has been cause for optimism, the Cowboys’ has been cause for concern. After a one-point win over the Raiders to start the year they lost comfortably to the Broncos and then the Warriors, though they did at least get back on the winners’ list last weekend, albeit only against the Titans. Last year, this would have loomed as an easy win for them; the signs are that this year, that isn’t the case. This could be a really close game, but the Cowboys will be desperate to avoid going 2-3 as they chase a second consecutive top four finish, and can get the chocolates in a tight game.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Cowboys -1.5$1.90
Cowboys 1-12$3.25
Cowboys to win$1.80

Predicted Squads

Canterbury-Bankstown BulldogsCanterbury Bulldogs: 1. Hayze Perham 2. Jacob Kiraz 3. Jake Averillo 4. Paul Alamoti 5. Josh Addo-Carr 6. Matt Burton 7. Kyle Flanagan 8. Max King 9. Reed Mahoney 10. Ryan Sutton 11. Viliame Kikau 12. Jacob Preston 13. Raymond Faitala-Mariner 14. Jayden Okunbor 15. Corey Waddell 16. Tevita Pangai Junior 17. Franklin Pele

North Queensland CowboysNorth Queensland Cowboys: 1. Tom Chester 2. Kyle Feldt 3. Valentine Holmes 4. Peta Hiku 5. Brendan Elliot 6. Tom Dearden 7. Chad Townsend 8. Jordan McLean 9. Reece Robson 10. Griffin Neame 11. Coen Hess 12. Heilum Luki 13. Jason Taumalolo 14. Jake Granville 15. Mitch Dunn 16. Jamayne Taunoa-Brown 17. Riley Price

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