All the information on every 2021 bet online State of Origin possibility. From betting sites, tips, trends, history, statistics and analysis why the Blues or Maroons can/can’t win, BettingTop10 is your #1 one-stop to pick the State of Origin winners.

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Who has a chance to be State of Origin Winners in 2021 and why?

Before we great cracking into the ups and downs of the NSW v QLD odds and State of Origin Betting Tips lets take a closer look over the two protagonists for the State of Origin title in 2021, beginning with the contenders, the NSW Blues and following up with the current State of Origin champions, the almost-always underdog Queensland Maroons.

New South Wales Blues (NSW)

  • State of Origin Winners History – Titles Won – 15 – 1985, 1986, 1990, 1992, 1993, 1994, 1996, 1997, 2000, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2014, 2018, 2019.

The case for an NSW Series Win

  • They have James Tedesco, the best player in the game.
  • NSW coach Brad Fittler is one of few New South Welshman who can inspire his players to a similar level of passion as the legendary Queensland intensity.
  • The Blues in Damien Cook have a dummy half to play fast and get his forwards on the march quickly.
  • Tom Trbojevic has returned from his long-term injury and is starring week-in, week-out for the Manly Sea Eagles.
  • Emerging talent and player back-up in key positions such as Ryan Papenhuyzen, Clint Gutherson, Zac Lomax, Latrell Mitchell in case any of the Blues starts suffer injuries.
  • Queensland are unsettled in the coaching ranks with the untested Paul Green taking charge of the Maroons. The NRL Premiership-winning coach has plenty of club experience, however Brad ‘Freddie’ Fittler holds the significant edge in coaching experience at NRL level.

The case against an NSW Series Win

  • The Blues could be seen to have too many stars in their ranks and the potential for disunity among the players is high with a host of players with big egos batting for the same positions in the Blues line-up.
  • As always, the Blues miss the ‘us-vs-them’ mentality that lifts the Queenslanders to perform above themselves.
  • Two matches away from Sydney to begin the series. The Blues are almost always a 10-point per match better team in Sydney.

Queensland Maroons (QLD)

  • The current champions – Won 11 State of Origin series in 12 years prior to losing in 2018 and 2019 before winning the title back in 2020.
  • State of Origin Winners History – Titles Won – 24 – 1980, 1981, 1982, 1983, 1984, 1987, 1988, 1989, 1991, 1995, 1998, 2001, 2002 (Drawn Series but held shield), 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2015, 2016, 2017.

The case for a QLD Series Win

  • The form of the Gold Coast Titans and in particular, rampaging young forward, David Fifita who has evolved into the most damaging forward in the game today. His tries and runs out wide have the potential to swing the entire series into Queensland’s favour.
  • The QLD forward pack has firepower – the previously mentioned David Fifita, Moeaki Fotuaika, Josh Papalii, Jai Arrow, Tino Fa’asuamalaeaui, Kurt Capewell, Jaydn Su’A, Lindsay Collins and Felise Kaufusi. If NSW can’t go forward, their star-studded backline may mis-fire.
  • The emergence and form of young Harry Grant. The Storm hooker has been electric in club footy and has shown he can swing any game including Game 3 in his State of Origin in 2020.
  • The QLD spirit. State of Origin is built on the QLD underdog mentality. Without it, there is no State of Origin. The QLD players know it and understand it, thoroughly and completely.

The case against a QLD Series Win

  • Australia’s Betting Apps are clearly concerned about QLD’s lack of experience in the coaching ranks. Yes, Paul Green did well at the Cowboys in winning an NRL Grand Final, but his strategies did not evolve during his time at the club. The failure to adapt better at State of Origin level could be potentially disastrous for the Maroons.
  • Only one game in Brisbane. QLD are almost unbeatable at home in front of their raucous fans, but playing the first two matches away plays heavily into the hands of NSW.
  • Lack of player depth. While QLD’s best 13 can arguably go toe-to-toe with NSW, the Blues bench should be deeper than QLD’s.
  • If any of the big QLD stars go down with injury, there is not as much player quality to choose from as replacements, compared to the Blues.

NRL State of Origin Betting Odds

If you’re wondering what are the odds for State of Origin in 2020, we’ve got it all covered for from the most respected and secure online betting sites in Australia.

If you’re interested, check out our Bookmakers Reviews where we give all the best State of Origin 2021 betting sites the ‘once over’ with an impartial and honest review.

Here’s the best of the odds below and clearly, the NSW Blues are heavy favourites to win their third title in 4 years.

NSW Betting fans can get the best odds on their team to win the series with Unibet and Playup, while fans of betting on QLD for the series win will get their best odds from Palmerbet and Bet365.

*(All odds current as at 10 June 2021 – Subject to change)

Online Betting Site NSW
State of Origin 2021
Series Winners Odds
State of Origin 2021
Series Winners Odds
PlayUp $1.08 $8.00
Palmerbet $1.06 $9.50
Bet365 $1.071 $9.00
Unibet $1.08 $7.50

State of Origin Special Betting Markets

There are always a range of special betting markets on the State of Origin Series, and a range of the most varied betting markets are usually launched a week or two before the series begins.

Punters’ Favourite State of Origin Betting Markets

  • Head-to Head Betting – A simple bet on whether the QLD Maroons and NSW Blues will win an individual game outright. Head-to-Head Odds on State of Origin are usually quite even although occasionally some betting sites offer inflated odds in order to balance their books in more lopsided betting markets.
  • Line Betting – Line Betting options on State of Origin are usually tight affairs not offering a lot of value, although that may change in 2021 with NSW such heavy favourites to win. Line betting is a type of handicap betting where either Team A or Team B receive a head start with ‘the line’ being where the two teams meet at equal odds, usually in the range of $1.88 to $1.91.
    By way of example, if you punt on The Queensland Maroons to beat a line of +3.5 against the New South Wales Blues in Game 1, even if the Maroons lose the match by 3 points, you will still win your bet.
  • Anytime Try Scorer: Bet on a player from either QLD or NSW to score a try at any time in any State of Origin 2021 match.
  • Series Leading Tryscorer – Take a punt on which player will be the leading tryscorer across the entire NRL State of Origin 2021 series.
  • Series Betting – A simple bet type on which team will win the series outright. If you’d like to pick the correct series score the NRL State of Origin Series Scores Betting Odds will be available around 2 weeks out from Game 1.

*(All odds current as at 2 May 2021 – Subject to change)

Online Betting Site NSW
To Win 2-1
To Win 3-0
To Win 2-1
Palmerbet $2.50 $1.67 $9.50
Bet365 $2.50 $1.80 $9.00
Unibet $2.60 $1.70 $7.50
  • Man of the Match – Each State of Origin 2021 match should offer Man of the Match Betting for the best player of each match.
  • Wally Lewis Medal Winner – Named for one of Queensland’s all-time greats, the Wally Lewis Medal is awarded each year to the player of the series and offers great betting opportunities.
    Recent winners include:

Cameron Munster (QLD) 2020
James Tedesco (NSW) 2019
Billy Slater (QLD) 2018
Dane Gagai (QLD) 2017
Cameron Smith (QLD) 2016
Corey Parker (QLD) 2015

State of Origin Live Streaming

Once upon a time, State of Origin Live Streaming could be found on some of the online betting sites. However, due to the huge broadcast rights for the TV deals, that is now a thing of the past.

To watch State of Origin Live in Australia, tune in Channel 9’s free to air TV coverage or live stream with the NRL’s exclusive live streaming partner Kayo (subscription fee required).

State of Origin Betting Tips

  • Check for Injuries to Key Players – As NSW have the greater player depth to cover any injuries to key players, check the current status of the players involved. If QLD are beset by injuries for any match in State of Origin 2021, it is almost certain you would place your money on NSW to win that particular match.
  • Never underestimate QLD – On the other hand, when written off by experts and bookies, QLD are at their most dangerous. Anyone old enough to remember Fatty Vautin’s team of unknowns that humiliated NSW 3-0 in 1995 knows all about it.
  • Prop Bets Markets Usually Offer the Best Returns – Betting markets like Line Betting, First Tryscorer, Anytime Tryscorer, Most Tackles, Wally Lewis Medal Winner etc. usually offer better betting odds and potential returns than head-to-head match betting in State of Origin.

State of Origin – Stats & History, Schedule & Dates

In 2021, State of Origin is 41 years old. It is hard to believe that it is now 41 years since Arthur Beetson threw a punch in the first State of Origin match in 1980 at his Parramatta Eels teammate Mick Cronin and the ‘Mate against Mate, State Against State’ legend was born.

New South Wales Blues (NSW)

  • State of Origin Winners History – Titles Won – 15 – 1985, 1986, 1990, 1992, 1993, 1994, 1996, 1997, 2000, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2014, 2018, 2019.

Queensland Maroons (QLD)

  • State of Origin Winners History – Titles Won – 24 – 1980, 1981, 1982, 1983, 1984, 1987, 1988, 1989, 1991, 1995, 1998, 2001, 2002 (Drawn Series but held shield), 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2020.

Most Consecutive Games Won – 8 games – Queensland from Game 3 1987 – Game 3 1989.
Most Consecutive Series Won – 8 – Queensland (2006 – 2013).
Most Successful Origin coach – Queensland’s Mal Meninga (2006-2015) holds State of Origin coaching records for the most games (33), most wins (22) and most series victories (9).
Largest Winning Margin:46 points – Queensland 52-6 New South Wales in Game 3 in 2015
Most Series Clean Sweeps – 4 – Queensland – 1988, 1989, 1995, 2010.
Most Games – Cameron Smith (Queensland) – 42 – (2003-2017).
Most Consecutive Games – Johnathan Thurston (Queensland) – 36 – (2005-2017)
Most Man of the Match Awards – Wally Lewis (Queensland) – 8 (1980-1991).
Most Points in Match – Ryan Girdler (NSW) – 32 – Game 3 – 2000.
Leading Tryscorer in State of Origin Career – Greg Inglis – QLD – 18 (2006-2018)

State of Origin Schedule – Dates & Venues 2021

Game 1 – Wednesday, 9 June 2021
Queensland vs New South Wales – Melbourne Cricket Ground – Melbourne – Victoria – from 8.10pm AEST

Game 2 – Sunday, 27 June 2021
Queensland vs New South Wales – Suncorp Stadium – Brisbane – Queensland – from 7.50pm AEST

Game 3 – Wednesday, 14 July 2021
New South Wales vs Queensland – Stadium Australia – Sydney – New South Wales – from 8.10pm AEST

NRL State of Origin 2021 FAQs

  • Will crowds be allowed at State of Origin matches in 2021?

    Yes. The Melbourne Cricket Ground will permit up to 85 000 fans for Game 1. Stadium capacity will be capped at 50 000 for Game 2 at Brisbane’s Suncorp Stadium. Game 3 at Stadium Australia in Sydney will be at 100% capacity of around 80 000.

  • Will there also be a Women’s State of Origin in 2021?

    Yes. Dates will be released soon and the series is expected to be played in October or November following the AFLW season.

  • Who has scored the most points in their State of Origin career?

    Queensland’s Johnathan Thurston scored 212 points (5 tries, 102 goals and 2 field goals) 2005-2017.

  • Are State of Origin tickets still available?

    Yes. Tickets are still available for all 3 State of Origin games in 2021, however, Game 2 in Brisbane is already close to being a sell-out. Contact your usual ticket outlets for details.