AFL 2023 Round 5 – Betting Tips, Odds & Predictions

By:
James Salmon
16/04/2023
AFL Betting Tips
AFL 2023 Round 5
AFL 2023 Round 5

Round Five will see the first ever addition of the AFL’s Gather Round, a new concept which will this year see all 18 teams brought to Adelaide over the course of the weekend. With games played across numerous stadiums in the City of Churches, there are many which shape up as entertaining affairs, from the Blues vs the Crows on Thursday, to the Tigers vs Swans on Friday night, and culminating in the Magpies vs the Saints on Sunday afternoon. On this page, we take a look at all the fixtures, all the odds, and preview each and every game set to take place in Round Five of the AFL.

Round 5 Fixtures

FixturesInfo (AEST)Home OddsAway Odds
Crows vs BluesThursday April 13th, 7.40pm$1.85$1.95
Dockers vs SunsFriday April 14th, 5.10pm$1.67$2.20
Tigers vs SwansFriday April 14th, 8.10pm$2.45$1.55
Lions vs KangaroosSaturday April 15th, 1.10pm$1.17$5.00
Bombers vs DemonsSaturday April 15th, 4.10pm$3.80$1.27
Power vs BulldogsSaturday April 15th, 7.50pm$1.55$2.45
Cats vs EaglesSunday April 16th, 1.10pm$1.07$8.50
Giants vs HawksSunday April 16th, 3.20pm$1.42$2.90
Magpies vs SaintsSunday April 16th, 4.50pm$1.45$2.75

Adelaide Crows vs Carlton Blues

Round 5 of the AFL season kicks off with an intriguing clash between a seemingly improved Crows’ outfit, and a Blues side which remains one of just two undefeated sides a month into the year. The Crows made it two wins in the past fortnight last weekend with an impressive performance against the Dockers, beating a team which won 15 games last year with relative ease. That 111-72 victory took their record to 2-2 and saw them leap into the top eight, but they’ll be hard-pressed to stay there with a game against the Blues this weekend. Carlton took a while to get going against the Kangaroos but switched on when they needed to in the last quarter, with their twin towers up forward of Charlie Curnow and Harry McKay dominant in the victory. Unfortunately, they’re set to lose star backman Sam Docherty for upwards of a month with a knee injury, and with their top-heavy best 22 they won’t want to lose many more of their big guns. As important as he is, however, they have been impressive across the park so far in 2022, and though the Crows have had a good couple of weeks, the Blues look like good value here.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Blues +1.5$1.80
Blues 1-39$2.35
Blues to win$1.87

Predicted Squads

Adelaide CrowsAdelaide Crows: 1. T. Doedee 2. N. Murray 3. M. Michalanney 4. B. Smith 5. J. Butts 6. M. Hinge 7. C. Jones 8.  R. Laird 9. S. Berry 10. I. Rankine 11. J. Dawson 12. B. Keays 13. T. Walker 14. D. Fogarty 15. S. McAdam 16. R. O’Brien 17. J. Rachele 18. J. Soligo 19. R. Sloane 20. W. Milera 21. N. McHenry 22. R. Thilthorpe

Carlton BluesCarlton Blues: 1. Docherty 2. J. Weitering 3. L. Cowan 4. N. Newman 5. L. Young 6. A. Saad 7. B. Acres 8. P. Cripps 9. M. Kennedy 10. Z. Fisher 11. C. Curnow 12. J. Motlop 13. S. Durdin 14. H. McKay 15. J. Silvagni 16. T. De Koning 17.  A. Cerra 18. S. Walsh 19. M. Pittonet 20. M. McGovern 21. G. Hewett 22. E. Curnow

Fremantle Dockers vs Gold Coast Suns

The Dockers’ disappointing start to the season only got worse last year, with a comprehensive defeat at the hands of Crows making it three losses in four games to begin the season. For a side with top four aspirations after winning 15 games last year, there are few positives to be found from the start of this season. The Suns, too, have been extremely disappointing as they attempt to finally compete for a finals spot after arguably the most competitive season in their history last year. For one of these teams, this game may set them on the right track after a poor start; for the loser, however, a bad start will get even worse and the pressure on them will jack up even further. Were this an actual Fremantle home game they would likely be much more significant favourites than what they are playing the game in Adelaide, but though it might be closer on a neutral venue, they should really be winning this one.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Dockers to win$1.67
Dockers 1-39$2.20
Dockers -5.5$1.87

Predicted Squads

Fremantle DockersFremantle Dockers: 1. B. Cox 2.  A. Pearce 3. H. Young 4. N. Wilson 5. L. Ryan 6. B. Walker 7. J. Clark 8. E. Hughes 9. L. Henry 10. M. Walters 11. L. Jackson 12. J. Aish 13. L. Schultz 14. J. Amiss 15. S. Switkowski 16. S. Darcy 17.  A. Brayshaw 18. J. O’Meara 19. W. Brodie 20. C. Serong 21.  N. O’Driscoll 22. B. Banfield

Gold Coast SunsGold Coast Suns: 1. L. Weller 2. S. Collins 3. D. Macpherson 4. B. Uhland 5. C. Ballard 6. M. Andrew 7. J. Lukosius 8. T. Miller 9. D. Swallow 10. B. Ainsworth 11. L. Casboult 12. M. Rosas 13. N. Holman 14. B. King 15. E. Hollands 16. J. Witts 17. M. Rowell 18. N. Anderson 19. B. Humphrey 20. B. Mclaughlin 21. C. Constable 22. W. Powell

Richmond Tigers vs Sydney Swans

Friday night’s second matchup will see two teams who entered this year with Premiership aspirations collide, both of whom are coming off thrillingly disappointing losses last week. The Tigers went down by five points to the Bulldogs in a bizarre game; for a period in the second quarter, they were unstoppable and looked like the best team in the league. For the rest of the game, they looked like a pedestrian side, and with both Tom Lynch and Toby Nankervis set to be sidelined for an extended period following the game things won’t get any easier for them this week. The Swans, meanwhile, had a chance to go 3-1, and based on the reactions of Ollie Florent and a few teammates to his shot after the siren they thought they had done exactly that. Unfortunately, the kick fell centimetres short, resigning them to a two-point loss and taking their record to 2-2. This is a huge game for both teams after two consecutive losses, and at a neutral venue could easily go either way. The Tigers have used up a couple of lives in their quest for a top four spot over the past fortnight, but have still shown glimpses of what they’re capable of at their best. With their backs against the wall, maybe they can eke out a tight, and much-needed win at Adelaide Oval.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Tigers +11.5$1.90
Tigers 1-39$2.75
Tigers to win$2.45

Predicted Squads

Richmond TigersRichmond Tigers: 1. N Balta 2. T Young 3. D Grimes 4.  L Baker 5. N Vlastuin 6. D. Rioli 7. K McIntosh 8. D Prestia 9. M Pickett 10. S Bolton 11. B Miller 12. R Mansell 13. T Cotchin 14. D Martin 15. J Riewoldt 16. S Ryan 17. T Taranto 18. J Hopper 19. T Sonsie 20. H Ralphsmith 21. J Clarke 22. N Cumberland

Sydney SwansSydney Swans: 1. B Campbell 2. D Rampe 3. R Fox 4. O Florent 5. J Lloyd 6. N Blakey 7. D Stephens 8. C Mills 9. J McInerney 10. H Cunningham 11. L McDonald 12. W Hayward 13. I Heeney 14. J Amartey 15. T Papley 16. P Ladhams 17. L Parker 18. J Rowbottom 19. R Clarke 20. C Warner 21. E Gulden 22. H McLean

  • Rain is forecast for Saturday in Adelaide, which bodes well for a couple of the unders in games on that day.
  • The Magpies have won four of their last five games against the Saints.

Multi of the Week

LegsOdds
Lions vs Kangaroos – Under 166.5 total match points$1.90
Bombers vs Demons – Under 163.5 total match points$1.90
Magpies to win$1.45
Bet $10 for $50.23 with PlayUp

Brisbane Lions vs North Melbourne Kangaroos

The Lions continued their topsy turvy start to the season last Thursday night, following up their disappointing loss to the Bulldogs with a hugely impressive victory over the Magpies. So far, they’ve been pretty poor on the road and excellent at home, but while this is technically a home game for them, it presents a great opportunity for them to turn things around outside of Brisbane. With the game set to be played in the Adelaide Hills, neither they nor the Kangaroos will have the benefit of the home ground advantage, and based purely on the strength of each team the Lions should clearly be winning this one. The Kangaroos continued their competitive start to the season by taking it to the far more highly fancied Blues last week, but they were outlasted in the second half and ultimately went down by four goals. It’s easy to see a similar result unfolding in this one.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Kangaroos +29.5$1.90
Lions 1-39$2.10
Under 166.5 total match points$1.81

Predicted Squads

Brisbane LionsBrisbane Lions: 1. B Starcevich 2. J Payne 3. D Joyce 4. C McKenna 5. H Andrews 6. D Rich 7. W Ashcroft 8. Z Bailey 9. J Berry 10. C Cameron 11. J Gunston 12. H McCluggage 13. C Cameron 14. J Gunston 15. H McCluggage 16. O McInerney 17. J Dunkley 18. L Neale 19. L McCarthy 20. C Rayner 21. K Coleman 22. J Prior

North Melbourne North Melbourne Kangaroos: 1. C Taylor 2. B McKay 3. A Corr 4. J Ziebell 5. L McDonald 6. B Scott 7. W Powell 8. B Cunnington 9. D Tucker 10. J Stephenson 11. C Comben 12.  H Sheezel 13. C Zurhaar 14. N Larkey 15. P Curtis 16. T Goldstein 17. L Davies-Uniacke 18. J Simpkin 19. C Taylor 20. L Shiels 21. K Turner 22. W Phillips

Essendon Bombers vs Melbourne Demons

It was a frustrating Round Four for the Bombers, with inaccuracy nearly costing them dearly against the Giants. Ultimately, however, they were able to get the chocolates, winning by 13 behinds, and as frustrating as it might have been, their performance was actually relatively impressive, goalkicking aside. Now, the 3-1 Dons get the chance to test their mettle against one of the best in the business. Their loss to the Lions in Round Two aside, the Dees have been clinical thus far this season, with a 63-point defeat of an undermanned Eagles side their third 50+ point win of the year already. Beating the Eagles in their current state is not all that much to write home about, but they’ve done it against better teams already this year. The Bombers will need to be at their absolute best to get it done against Melbourne, and while it’s hard to see that happening, perhaps they can at least keep the margin to a few goals – which for a side at their stage of development, wouldn’t be the worst result.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Bombers +24.5$1.90
Demons 1-39$2.00
Under 163.5 total match points$1.87

Predicted Squads

EssendonEssendon Bombers: 1. M Redman 2. B Zerk-Thatcher 3. J Ridley 4. J Kelly 5. J Laverde 6. A McGrath 7.S Durham 8. D Parish 9. N Martin 10. K Langford 11. J Stringer 12. W Setterfield 13. J Caldwell 14. W Snelling 15. A Perkins 16. S Draper 17. Z Merrett 18. D Shiel 19. H Jones 20. A Davey Jnr 21. A Phillips 22. J Menzie

Melbourne DemonsMelbourne Demons: 1. J Lever 2. S May 3. M Hibberd 4. T Sparrow 5. H Petty 6. J McVee 7. A Brayshaw 8. C Oliver 9. L Hunter 10. E Langdon 11. B Fritsch 12. J Bowey 13. C Spargo 14. B Brown 15. A Neal-Bullen 16. B Grundy 17. J Viney 18. C Petracca 19. T Rivers 20. T McDonald 21. K Chandler 22.  K Pickett 23. Chandler

Port Adelaide Power vs Western Bulldogs

Neither of these teams have been particularly easy to pick so far this year, which means that there are a myriad of possibilities for this game, from a comfortably victory to either team to a game which goes down to the wire. The Power, after demolishing the Lions in Round One, were blown out of the water by the Magpies and then beaten comfortably by the Crows, before heading to Sydney and beating the Swans – a confusing run of form to say the least. The Dogs haven’t been much better. They were nowhere near it against the Dees in Round One then got demolished by the Saints the next week, but since then have beaten both the Lions and the Tigers in tight games over the past fortnight. This game could really go in any direction, but as one of two teams with an actual home ground advantage this weekend, the Power can take their record to 3-2 with a solid victory to break the Doggies winning streak. 

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Power -10.5$1.90
Power 1-39$2.05
Power to win$1.51

Predicted Squads

Port Adelaide PowerPort Adelaide Power: 1. A Aliir 2. T Jonas 3. T McKenzie 4. K Farrell 5. M Bergman 6. D Houston 7. T Boak 8. W Drew 9. X Duursma 10. C Rozee 11. J Mead 12. S Powell-Pepper 13. W Rioli 14. T Marshall 15. C Dixon 16. S Lycett 17. O Wines 18. Z Butters 19. D Williams 20. J Horne-Francis 21. J McEntee 22. J Finlayson

Western BulldogsWestern Bulldogs: 1. J Bruce 2. L Jones 3. T Duryea 4. B Dale 5. T O’Brien 6. E Richards 7. O Baker 8. M Bontempelli 9. J Macrae 10. B Smith 11. J Ugle-Hagan 12. A Jones 13. A Scott 14.  A Naughton 15. R Lobb 16. T English 17. T Liberatore 18.  A Treloar 19. J Johannisen 20. C Daniel 21. B Williams 22. R McComb

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Geelong Cats vs West Coast Eagles

Halfway through their Round Four Easter Monday clash, the alarm bells were ringing for the reigning premiers. Having lost their first three games of the season, they found themselves nine points down to the Hawks, of all teams. But we needn’t have worried about this champion team. They went on to boot ten goals to zip in the third quarter and 15 to one in the second half to run out 82-point winners, securing their first win of the season in the process. With a percentage of 109.9% despite being 1-3, they now get a great opportunity to boost that number even further against a team which wasn’t very good to start with, and which is now crippled by injury. The Eagles lost a hefty chunk of their best 22 in their Round Three Western Derby clash with the Dockers, and a 63-point loss to the Demons last week was, in reality, about as good as they could have hoped for. This weekend doesn’t look like being a whole lot better. Thank Christ for the Eagles this game isn’t being played at GMHBA Stadium, but even in Adelaide this one could get ugly.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Cats -41.5$1.90
Cats -68.5$4.50
Over 166.5$1.81

Predicted Squads

Geelong CatsGeelong Cats: 1. M O’Connor 2. E Ratugolea 3. Z Tuohy 4. J Kolodjashnij 5. T Stewart 6. Z. Guthrie 7. I Smith 8. M Blicavs 9. M Holmes 10. T Stengle 11. T Hawkins 12. B Close 13. G Miers 14. J Cameron 15. T Atkins 16. R Stanley 17. C. Guthrie 18.  P Dangerfield 19. S De Koning 20. J Bowes 21. O Henry 22. M Duncan

West Coast EaglesWest Coast Eagles: 1. T Cole 2. T Barrass 3. L Duggan 4. J Jones 5. S Hurn 6. J Hunt 7. J Jones 8. S Hurn 9. J Hunt 10. C West 11. J Darling 12. G Clark 13. N Long 14. O Allen 15. J Waterman 16. B Williams 17. R Ginbey 18. T Kelly 19. A Witherden 20. S Petrevski-Seton 21. H Edwards 22. J Culley

GWS Giants vs Hawthorn Hawks

The penultimate game of Gather Round isn’t one which will get neutral fans all that excited, with a couple of teams looking likely to spend the year in the lower reaches of the ladder going head to head at Norwood Oval. The Giants have, in fairness, been competitive every week; after beating the Crows in Round One they’ve lost to the Eagles, Blues and Bombers, but each of those losses has been by less than 20 points. The Hawks can’t quite justify their 1-3 record with the same thing. They beat the Kangaroos in Round Three, but that aside they’ve been terrible, with their three losses coming by 59, 81 and 82 points, in that order. At least the last couple were to top tier sides, but it doesn’t make for great readings regardless. They should be able to avoid as significant a defeat this weekend, but nonetheless the Giants should be able to notch up their second win of the season in this one.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Giants to win$1.42
Giants 1-39$2.00
Over 163.5 total match points$1.91

Predicted Squads

GWS GiantsGWS Giants: 1. C Idun 2. S Taylor 3. I Cumming 4. L Whitfield 5. L Whitfield 6. L Whitfield 7. F Callaghan 8. J Kelly 9. C Ward 10. D Lloyd 11. H Himmelberg 12. A Cadman 13. T Greene 14. J Hogan 15. B Daniels 16. M Flynn 17. T Green 18. S Coniglio 19. J Riccardi 20. N Haynes 21. A Peatling 22. X O’Hallaran

Hawthorn Hawthorn Hawks: 1. S Frost 2. J Sicily 3. C Jiath 4. J Scrimshaw 5. B Hardwick 6. J Impey 7. K Amon 8. J Newcombe 9. H Morrison 10. C Macdonald 11. L Breust 12. D Moore 13. F Maginness 14. L Meek 15 .F Greene 16. N Reeves 17. W Day 18. C Wingard 19. C Ward 20. C Mackenzie 21. J Worpel 22. L Bramble

Collingwood Magpies vs St. Kilda Saints

The final match of Round Five looks to be a good one. The Magpies were the best team in the league over the first three weeks of the season, but finally met their match last Thursday night against the Lions. That hasn’t yet happened for the Saints. The only team sitting at 4-0, they look like a new side under Ross Lyon, and last week knocked off the Suns like a side vying for a spot in the top four should. Whether they can remain there is still a big question mark, but this match should be a revealing one in terms of where they are at. The Magpies have proven themselves to be one of the best teams in the business over the past year and a month under Craig McRae. The Saints, meanwhile, are essentially where the Pies were at this time last year; a team which, under their new coach, looks much improved, but which has to prove that they can maintain the rage. They haven’t yet beaten a team that looks like being a genuine contender this year, so this will provide a huge test for them. Given how Collingwood have played most of the first month, they may well hand the Saints a reality check, but Ross Lyon and his chargers should be able to keep the margin respectable.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Magpies -13.5$1.90
Magpies 1-39$2.05
Magpies to win$1.44

Predicted Squads

Collingwood MagpiesCollingwood Magpies: 1. N Murphy 2. B Frampton 3. B Maynard 4. J Crisp 5.  D Moore 6. I Quaynor 7. B Hill 8. N. Daicos 9. J. Daicos 10 . S Sidebottom 11. B Mihocek 12. J De Goey 13. B McCreery 14. D McStay 15. J Elliott 16. A Johnson 17. T Mitchell 18. T Adams 19. J Noble 20. S Pendlebury 21. R McInnes 22. W Hoskin-Elliott

St KildaSt Kilda Saints: 1.J Battle 2. D Howard 3. C Wilkie 4. L Stocker 5. J Sinclair 6. N Wanganeen-Milera 7. M Wood 8. S Ross 9. R Byrnes 10. D Butler 11. B Hill 12. J Higgins 13. M Owens 14. J Gresham 15. A Caminiti 16. R Marshall 17. B Crouch 18. M Phillipou 19. H Clark 20. M Windhager 21. Z Cordy 22. B Paton

                

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