Soccer Betting Tips for May 10, 2026: Odds, Analysis and Best Bets

We cover five matches from four of Europe's biggest leagues this week: a relegation battle in the Premier League, Napoli pushing for a Champions League place in Serie A, a La Liga game with Europe on the line, and important Bundesliga final day fixtures. You will find more previews and tips at bettingtop10 South Africa.

Tottenham are 17th in the Premier League with 37 points from 35 matches and in a real fight to stay up, with injuries ripping through the squad: Xavi Simons, Cristian Romero, Guglielmo Vicario, Wilson Odobert, Dejan Kulusevski, Ben Davies and Dominic Solanke are all out. Leeds come in in much better shape, winning three of their last four league games with victories over Burnley 3-1, Wolves 3-0 and Manchester United 2-1. They scored in all of those games, so the visitors are well placed to take advantage of a weakened Spurs defence missing its number one keeper, two senior centre-backs and several creative players. The last ten meetings between these teams have all produced over 2.5 goals, and as both sides usually play in open, high scoring matches, Leeds to win plus the goals markets looks like the most logical combination on the card.

Value Reasoning: 

Leeds at 3.80 is too big a price for an in-form team visiting a Tottenham side missing key defenders and its first-choice keeper; I am backing the away side to win.

Napoli are second in Serie A with Champions League qualification at stake in this game; they have lost only one of their 17 Serie A home games this season, unbeaten in 16, and pose a real threat in attack. Bologna are ninth with nothing left to play for and have not scored in four straight games in all competitions, including a 0-0 draw away at Cagliari; Nicolò Cambiaghi is among their missing attackers, which takes more quality out of their forward line, although Thijs Dallinga should be back. I think Napoli will handle this easily: Antonio Conte's team know what is on the line, and a Bologna attack in such a mess poses little danger to a well organised home defence. Under 2.5 goals and Both Teams To Score: No flow directly from Bologna's scoreless streak; if Napoli win by one or two with a clean sheet, both markets come in without hurting the main bet.

Value Reasoning: 

Napoli at 1.53 is a fair price for a team protecting a Champions League place at home against a Bologna side that has drawn a blank in four in a row; I am confident in the win and the clean sheet angle.

Atletico Madrid are fourth in La Liga, nine points ahead of fifth placed Real Betis and six behind Villareal with only three matches left, so that is probably where they will finish. Even so, after a 0-1 defeat to Celta Vigo on May 9, Diego Simeone's team will want to bounce back and end the season well. Osasuna are tenth on 42 points and have lost three of their last four, which suggests to me a side stuck in a rut rather than a real threat. Pablo Barrios is still out with a muscle problem and Julian Alvarez is nursing an ankle knock, but even short of full strength, Atletico's away defensive structure is good enough to cope with an Osasuna team that has struggled to win lately. I see a narrow Atletico win; Under 2.5 goals fits the numbers given how little Osasuna produce, and Both Teams To Score: No is backed by the visitors' strong defensive identity.

Value Reasoning:

My pick is an Atletico win; the 1.31 price reflects their motivation and defensive quality, and a tight, controlled away win is exactly how Simeone usually approaches games like this.

VfB Stuttgart jumped above Bayer Leverkusen into fourth with a commanding 3-1 win on May 9, which leaves them in the best position to claim a Champions League place on the last day of the Bundesliga season. Deniz Undav moved on to 19 Bundesliga goals in that game and Ermedin Demirovic is just as sharp, giving Stuttgart a strike force that has been superb in front of goal all year. Eintracht Frankfurt are eighth on 43 points and lost 3-2 to Dortmund last time out on May 8, but they can still grab a Conference League place if they climb one spot on the final day. They tend to play open football at Deutsche Bank Park, and I do not see that changing against opponents with everything to play for. I am backing a Stuttgart win and Over 2.5 Goals, given how many Stuttgart score and how leaky Frankfurt are at home; Both Teams To Score: Yes is also supported by Stuttgart letting in at least one in each of their last five away matches.

Value Reasoning: 

Stuttgart at 2.20 is a really appealing price for a team chasing Champions League football on the last day; they proved against Leverkusen that they can produce under pressure, so this is the best away win on the card.

Borussia Dortmund are second in the Bundesliga and have scored more than 2 goals a game on average this season; they showed their attacking edge by beating Frankfurt 3-2 last time out on May 8 and will want to end the season on a high at Weserstadion. Werder Bremen are 15th and lost 1-0 to Hoffenheim on May 9, and their squad has been hit hard by injuries to Mitchell Weiser, Keke Topp, Karl Hein and Julian Malatini, among others. Dortmund have won 21 of the last 34 games between the two clubs, and as I read it, a weakened Werder at home to a BVB side this good is not a game I would bet against the visitors in. I expect goals at both ends: Dortmund score plenty but have also conceded in recent away matches, and Werder usually manage to score at Weserstadion even when outclassed.

Value Reasoning:

Dortmund at 1.65 is good value considering their season average and Werder's injury crisis; I am confident BVB will win, with Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams To Score: Yes sitting comfortably alongside the main pick.

Not sure where to put these bets on? Our soccer betting sites guide lists the leading bookmakers in South Africa