World Cup 2026: Canada vs Morocco Prediction, Tips & Odds

* Odds supplied by Betway, accurate at the time of writing.

Canada welcome Morocco to NRG Stadium in Houston for a Round of 16 clash on Saturday, kicking off at 19:00 CAT. The co-hosts made the last sixteen for the first time thanks to a late Stephen Eustaquio winner against South Africa, while Morocco beat the Netherlands on penalties after a 1-1 draw over 90 minutes and extra time, showing once again how well they handle knockout football. Both teams are playing for a spot in the quarter finals. All our World Cup betting tips are waiting for you in our dedicated section.

Canada

Canada have been carried along by their home crowd, and Jesse Marsch has them well organised and a real threat on the break through Alphonso Davies and Jonathan David. The big setback, as I see it, is losing Ismael Kone, whose broken leg has pushed Eustaquio into a deeper role and left the midfield stretched. Davies is still getting back to full sharpness after his own injury and might only come off the bench. I think Canada will need David to finish one of very few chances, since keeping up pressure on this Morocco defence seems unlikely.

Expected Starting XI: Crepeau; Johnston, Bombito, Cornelius, Laryea; Buchanan, Eustaquio, Saliba, Millar; David, Oluwaseyi.

Morocco

Morocco are the leading African team of recent times, and Mohamed Ouahbi has stuck with the setup that took them to the 2022 semi-finals. Achraf Hakimi powers them forward from right back, Brahim Diaz has shone between the lines and Youssef En Nesyri leads the attack. They have real depth in the squad and no new suspensions, which is why I see them as clear favourites. As I see it, Morocco will dictate the pace all game and wait for their moment instead of forcing things.

Expected Starting XI: Bounou; Hakimi, Diop, Chadi Riad, Mazraoui; Bouaddi, El Aynaoui; Brahim Diaz, El Khannouss, Ounahi; Saibari.

Morocco are stronger in nearly every position, and I think their grip on possession will grind Canada down. The co-hosts will leave it all out there for their fans, but with Kone missing I do not think they have the foundation to hurt Morocco. My prediction: Canada 0 Morocco 2.

Under 2.5 Goals (1.63)

My pick is Under 2.5 Goals, because as I see it both teams are built on a solid defence instead of open, attacking football. Morocco have seldom let in goals on the road to this stage and will be happy to sit on a lead, while a Canada side without Kone will think twice about sending players forward. At 1.63, a tight, low scoring knockout game looks the smart bet.