Tunisia vs Netherlands Tips, Prediction & Odds: World Cup 2026

* Odds supplied by Betway, accurate when this was written.

Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City hosts Tunisia vs the Netherlands early on Friday, starting at 01:00 CAT. The Dutch lead Group F and are virtually through, with only their finishing spot still to settle, while Tunisia are already out after big losses to Sweden and Japan. Tunisia have little left to play for and the Dutch will probably rotate, so the motivation picture is a strange one. For all our World Cup betting tips, take a look at our dedicated section.

Tunisia 

Tunisia have nothing but pride at stake after heavy defeats to Sweden and Japan, games that laid bare serious flaws in their defence. I think Sami Trabelsi will want a response to salvage some dignity, and experienced players like Ellyes Skhiri in midfield give them something solid to work from. Their attack has misfired badly, scoring only once in two matches, and fixing that must come first. As I see it, they will battle in the early stages but find Dutch quality too much to handle over ninety minutes.

Expected Lineup: Dahmen; Valery, Meriah, Talbi, Bronn, Abdi; Mejbri, Skhiri, Slimane; Saad, Tounekti

Netherlands

The Netherlands have been a real threat in attack at this World Cup, drawing with Japan and then brushing Sweden aside to take charge of the group. With a knockout spot locked in, Ronald Koeman will probably rotate and rest important players, but his squad is deep enough that the quality barely dips. Memphis Depay, Cody Gakpo and Tijjani Reijnders bring the sharp edge that Tunisia have found hard to handle. As I see it, even a Dutch team giving a few stars a lighter workload should be far too strong for an opponent that is already out.

Expected Lineup: Verbruggen; Dumphries, van Hecke, van Dijk, van de Ven; Reijnders, de Jong, Gravenberch; Malen, Gakpo, Depay.

Tunisia have already shipped plenty of goals, and the Netherlands have more than enough attacking power to add a few more. I see the Dutch dominating the ball, striking early through Depay or Gakpo, and pulling away in the second half against a demoralised team. My forecast: Tunisia 0 Netherlands 3.

BTTS: No (1.49)

My pick is Both Teams To Score: No, because Tunisia have found the net only once in the whole tournament and are unlikely to get past a Dutch back line led by Virgil van Dijk. The Netherlands have the composure to manage the match and stay solid defensively. At 1.49, a Dutch clean sheet is the standout value.