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World Cup 2026: Tunisia vs Sweden Tips, Odds & Prediction

James Salmon
By: James Salmon
World Cup Betting Tips
World Cup 2026 - Sweden vs Tunisia

World Cup 2026 Tunisia vs Sweden

Tunisia vs Sweden Best Odds

Sweden are the first opponents for Tunisia at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with the sides meeting at Estadio BBVA in Monterrey at 04:00 CAT on Monday, June 15. Sabri Lamouchi's team go in as outsiders against a Swedish outfit powered by Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyokeres, and with the Netherlands strongly fancied to top Group F, both camps understand that a good result in this game could end up being decisive. All our World Cup betting tips are waiting in our dedicated section.

Tunisia vs Sweden Analysis

Tunisia

Tunisia head to Monterrey led by Sabri Lamouchi, who was only appointed this year following Sami Trabelsi's sacking and has had very little time to put his stamp on the group. As I see it, skipper Ellyes Skhiri will hold together a compact, industrious midfield, while Hannibal Mejbri carries the job of supplying the creativity in the final third. There is talent in the squad, yet form is clearly a worry; Belgium hammered Tunisia in their last warm-up, scoring five times as Ismael Gharbi was sent off, and that game showed how toothless they can be in attack. I believe Lamouchi will put defensive solidity first and try to frustrate Sweden instead of opening up and chasing lots of scoring chances of their own.

Probable Lineup: Dahmen; Drager, Talbi, Meriah, Abdi; Skhiri, Laidouni; Achouri, Mejbri, Ben Slimane; Jaziri.

Sweden

On paper Sweden are the stronger team, and I expect Graham Potter to shape everything around an attack most countries would love to have, with Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyokeres backed up by the speed of Anthony Elanga. There are warning signs, however, after a loss to Norway and a draw against Greece in their warm-up games, and not having a settled, top-class goalkeeper is a real concern. Dejan Kulusevski is out of the tournament following an injury-ruined season, and Emil Holm pulled out late, with Herman Johansson called up in his place. I still think Potter's back three has enough quality to get the win, though they will have to be patient against a stubborn side.

Probable Lineup: Nordfeldt; Hien, Lagerbielke, Lindelof; Svensson, Karlstrom, Ayari, Gudmundsson; Elanga, Isak; Gyokeres.

Under 2.5 Goals (1.62)
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Tunisia vs Sweden Prediction

Sweden have the individual talent to break through the Tunisian back line, but Tunisia are well drilled and won't give up much, so I am not anticipating lots of goals. I reckon Isak or Gyokeres settles a tight, low-scoring game late on. My Tunisia vs Sweden call: Tunisia 0 Sweden 1.

Sweden to Win (1.88)
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Tunisia vs Sweden Best Bet

BTTS: No (1.76)

My pick is BTTS: No, as I don't think Tunisia carry enough of a threat to score against a Sweden team that will hog possession. Lamouchi's side barely created anything in the heavy loss to Belgium and appear set up to defend first and think about goals later. With Tunisia happy to sit back and Sweden owning territory, I am confident at least one side draws a blank, and at 1.76 that is the sensible selection.

BTTS: No (1.76)
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World Cup 2026 Standings & Upcoming Matches

James is a sports writer, editor and published author based in Melbourne, Australia. He has spent almost ten years writing about sport and roughly three times that following everything from AFL and cricket to NBA and surfing, and he has released his own sports book called Sport’s Greatest Statistical Anomalies. When he isn’t watching or playing sport, James is usually strumming his guitars (only when nobody else is home, of course), sampling a new stout or getting stuck into a book.