Robert Whittaker vs Israel Adesanya: Betting Tips, Odds & Predictions

Robert Whittaker vs Israel Adesanya
Robert Whittaker vs Israel Adesanya, Marvel Stadium, Middleweight, Fight Night UFC 243

The fight is over.
Israel Adesanya win.

It’s a battle of two Kiwis across the water in Australia, as Auckland-born Sydney resident Robert Whittaker takes on Nigerian-New Zealander Israel Adesanya.

Tale of the tape

Robert Whittaker

Israel Adesanya UFC

Robert Whittaker


28 Age 30
6 ft. Height 6.3 ft.
185 lbs. Weight 185 lbs.
73.5 in Reach 80 in

Our Betting Tips

Robert ‘The Reaper’ Whittaker steps back into the Octagon for the first time in 16 months this weekend, following an emergency double surgery on an abdominal hernia in the intestine and a twisted and collapsed bowel. The middleweight champion’s physical recovery and capabilities will be put to the ultimate test against the undefeated Israel ‘The Last Stylebender’ Adesanya, who’s looking to ascend to the ranks of undisputed UFC kingpins this at the Marvel Stadium.

Fight to finish inside the distance

Whittaker’s last bout was his thrilling split decision victory over Yoel Romero back in June of last year, reinforcing his supremacy over the Cuban in their rematch and stretching the Reaper’s winning streak to nine fights. Despite his inactivity, the 28-year-old starts as the odds-on favourite with the best betting sites, thanks to his impressive array of victories over a number of top middleweights. Whittaker is an aggressive striker capable of landing big shots, as well as taking them, while his elite wrestling background means he’s comfortable on the ground too.

Robert Whittaker to win by KO or TKO

The Reaper may need to take this fight to the canvas, thanks to his opponent’s height and reach advantage, and superb striking armoury that draws comparisons to the UFC’s greatest ever striker, Jon Jones. Adesanya is an accomplished boxer and kickboxer, with an excellent engine that means he can apply constant pressure made even more dangerous by his pinpoint accuracy. Whittaker has incredible durability, but that could be put to the test like never before against the Last Stylebender.

Robert Whittaker to win by submission

The chink in undefeated Adesanya’s armour is his ground game, and that could be the key to this fight. The Lagos-born 30-year-old will want to keep the contest on the feet, while Whittaker may look for an early takedown to assert his dominance. The Reaper has brutal ground and pound in top position, and if he can damage Adesanya early, that could impair the interim champ’s striking capabilities. On the other hand, the Last Stylebender will have the chance to hurt Whittaker on his way into the clinch or a takedown attempt, and over five rounds, Adesanya could have a number of opportunities for what would be a 14th knockout in 18 fights.

Israel Adesanya to win by KO or TKO

Best Odds

Robert Whittaker
Israel Adesanya
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  • This will only be Robert Whittaker’s third fight since April 2017 – the Reaper has beaten Yoel Romero twice via decision since back-to-back TKO victories over Derek Brunson and Ronaldo Souza.
  • Israel Adesanya also has a TKO victory over Brunson on his recent record, while the Last Stylebender has gone on to beat Anderson Silva and Kelvin Gastelum in his two fights since.
  • Adesanya is 6-0 since making his UFC debut in February 2018, while Whittaker has been fighting in the promotion since 2012 and has a record of 11-2.
  • Adesanya trumps Whittaker by 54% to 41% in the striking accuracy stakes coming into this contest.
  • Both men land something in the region of 4.5 significant strikes per minute, but Adesanya only absorbs 2.07 significant strikes per minute, to Whittaker’s 3.65.
  • Whittaker brings a 57% grappling accuracy into the bout, whereas Adesanya has a 0% success rate after failing in just three takedown attempts.

Our Prediction for Robert Whittaker vs Israel Adesanya

Israel Adesanya to win the fight

Robert Whittaker is a ferocious fighter who boasts a very strong fight IQ and excellent technical skills. He’s the betting favourite to win this contest and reassert his dominance over the middleweight division, but Israel Adesayna is the rising star in the 185-pound ranks. The Last Stylebender more than matches his opponent in most areas, and if he can keep the fight off the ground, he should be able to control the distance and pick off Whittaker from range. The Reaper will have a big say in this fight, but he’s been TKO’d before in the UFC, by Stephen ‘Wonderboy’ Thompson, and the same outcome could be on the cards this weekend.

John Abrams is a passionate sports fanatic who follows NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAF, NCAAB and Formula 1. A former sports trader, John has an unquestioned thirst for sports knowledge and often fills his time playing fantasy or placing wagers online.

All Predictions by John Abrams