South Africa vs Zimbabwe 1st ODI Highlights & Summary
In the 1st ODI of the 3-match series South Africa won the toss and elected to field first.
H Masakadza and Solomon Mire opened the innings for Zimbabwe. S Mire was out in the 4th over for 0 and Craig Ervine, the number 3 batsman followed getting out caught in the 11th over.
In the 14th over, Zimbabwe were 38-2 and the betting odds for Zimbabwe to win were 12.00.
In the 14th over the captain H Masakadza was dismissed by Phehlukwayo and when Phelhukwayo bowled the 16th over continuing his spell, he dismissed S Williams out lbw and Zimbabwe were 4 wickets down.
While the odds in the match winning market didn’t change through the match, there were other markets, the odds in which changed a lot.
Zimbabwe top team batsman is one such market. See how the odds change along the course of the Zimbabwe innings.
At 17.1 overs, Zimbabwe were 51-4 with Brendan Taylor and Peter Moor batting on the crease. The odds for top team batsman were –
The odds for Brendan Taylor to be the top team batsman were 2.20 while that for Hamilton Masakadza were 3.25. Peter Moor who was batting on 4 off 1 ball at the time had the odds of 4.00.
Notice how the lowest odds were set for Brendan Taylor -2.20. This was because Taylor was expected to play a good innings and most probably be the top team batsman.
Hamilton Masakadza was out for 25 and hence he would have been the top team batsman only if no one in the Zimbabwe team scored more the 25.
This looked unlikely when Taylor was batting on the crease and hence the odds were higher for Masakadza – 3.25.
Now, the odds for Elton Chigumbura to be the top team batsman were set high at 4.25. This was due to the fact that B Taylor and P Moor were still on crease and Taylor was expected to score highest runs and stay on the crease for longer.
In which case, Chigumbura would have not surpassed Brendan Taylor’s or Masakadza’s score and so was unlikely to be the top team batsman for the bookmaker.
In the 20th over, Kagiso Rabada dismissed Brendan Taylor out caught and the odds in the top team batsman changed again.
In the 22nd over, Zimbabwe were 58-5 and Elton Chigumbura had walked in to bat at number 7.
The odds in the Zimbabwe top team batsman market at this point were –
Since Taylor was out for 9 runs he was out of the race to be the top team batsman for Zimbabwe. While Hamilton Masakadza and Peter Moor were competing at the top with the odds – 2.10 and 2.40 respectively.
The odds had dropped for Hamilton Masakadza from 3.25 to 2.10 as the bookmaker would have considered it unlikely for any other batsman to cross 25 runs (Hamilton’s score) at this point in the innings.
Elton Chigumbura was on the crease and the odds for him to be the top team batsman were set at 3.25.
The 22nd over ended with Kagiso Rabada dismissing Peter Moor out caught by Elgar.
Zimbabwe were 62-6 and the odds for the top team batsman had changed once again.
Given the fact that Brendan Taylor and Peter Moor both were back in the pavilion scoring less than 25 runs, which were the highest of the innings so far, the bookmaker thought Masakadza would likely be the top team batsman.
And hence, the odds for Hamilton Masakadza to be the top team batsman were set at 1.45, followed by Elton Chigumbura at 3.25.
After 2 overs, when Zimbabwe were 72-6, the odds had changed again in the top team batsman market.
The bookmaker saw Elton Chigumura likely to be the top team batsman, but not as high a H Maskadza and hence the odds for Chigumbura were a little higher at 2.37 than Maskadaza – 2.10.
In the 28th over, Imran Tahir dismissed Wellington Maskadza out lbw for 15. Tahir continued his wicket taking spell and picked another wicket in his next over dismissing B Mavuta out lbw and Zimbabwe were 96-8 in 29.3 overs.
Here is a market the had great odds for predicting the method of dismissal of the next wicket –
The odds for fielder catch were set at 2.10 and those for bowled were set at 3.60.
The next wicket fell in the 33rd over when Ngidi dismissed K Jarvis out bowled for 8.
Elton Chigumbura was the last man to go, out caught on a delivery from Ngidi. He scored 27 runs and was the top team batsman for Zimbabwe.
A bettor who timed his bet well on Chigumbura to be the top team batsman would have won good returns.
Zimbabwe were all out for 117.
L Ngidi picked 3 wickets for 19 runs. Rabada, Phehlukwayo and Imran Tahir picked 2 wickets each.
South Africa innings
What looked like a cake walk for South Africa turned out to be quite challenging. Chasing a target of 118, the Proteas lost quick wickets early in the innings.
South Africa were 7-0 in 1.1 overs and the betting market for South Africa Top Batsman looked like this –
The bookmaker had set the odds lower for the top order batsman considering the fact South Africa were chasing a low total and hence Aiden Markram and Dean Elgar were likely to score the highest runs in the innings.
Things turned out differently and South Africa lost Dean Elgar in the 4th over. He lost his wicket to Chitara out caught.
Here is a look at another market, South Africa Total Runs – 1st Over to 5th Over –
These were the odds in the 2nd over. After 2 overs, South Africa were 8-0 and the odds for Under 23.5 had dropped.
As the 2nd over progressed, the market for 23.5 runs was not available anymore. This was the new market for the 1st Over to 5th Over total runs –
The odds for Over 19.5 were more than Under 23.5 and if a bettor had predicted the runs at the end of the 5th over would be between 19 and 23, then, the 19.5 market was the ideal one to bet.
And, betting on the selecting Over 19.5 would have given good returns on the bet.
After 5 overs, South Africa were 23-1. They lost more wickets 2 more wickets in the 1st Powerplay and were 40-3 after 10 overs.
C Jonker was dimissed by Mavuta out caught and was the 4th wicket to fall.
In the 17th over, South Africa were 67-4 with H Klaasen and JP Duminy on the crease.
These were the betting odds in the South Africa top batsman market at this time –
The odds for Heinrich Klaasen had dropped down to 1.20 from 51.00.
Klaasen was dismissed by Wellington Maskadza in the 22nd over out caught. Klaasen scored 44 off 44 balls with 5 fours and 2 sixes.
JP Duminy and Willem Mulder stayed on the crease and saw South Africa chase down the total in 26.1 overs.
Anyone who’d bet on Klaasen early in the innings after South Africa had lost just 1 or two wickets while the odds for him to bet the top batsman were still high, would have won good returns.
South Africa won the match by 5 wickets and 143 balls remaining.
Chatara and W Masakadza picked 2 wickets each.
It’ll be interesting to see how Zimbabwe comes back in the next ODI, check out our prediction for South Africa vs Zimbabwe 2nd ODI.