Spain vs Russia: Predictions, Odds & Betting Tips
This match is over.
Final score: Spain 1 – 1 Russia
Russia win on penalties (3-4)
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Sunday, 1st July Kickoff: 15:00
Group B winners Spain take on World Cup hosts Russia in the round of 16 clash in Moscow on Sunday. Russia finished 2nd in Group A following defeat to group winners Uruguay in their 3rd match. However, the Sbornaya kicked off their tournament in impressive form, dispatching both Saudi Arabia and Egypt by a combined score of 8-1.
The hosts will take on Group B winners Spain, in what could prove a tough test for Stanislav Chercheshov’s side. Despite failing to dominate their group, Spain finished 1st in the group – on goal difference with Portugal – and remain one of the tournament favourites.
A dramatic final minute of VAR-influenced action saw Spain edge through to the last 16 and top their group in the process. A last-gasp draw with Morocco followed a victory over Iran and draw with Portugal as Fernando Hierro’s side unconvincingly topped the group.
Russia made a storming start, defeating Saudi Arabia 5-0 and Egypt 3-1 before succumbing to a final day 3-0 defeat to Uruguay. However despite Spain possessing a far superior side individually, Stanislav Cherchesov’s Russia possess home advantage and will have a passionate home crowd behind them in the capital. The two also played out a thrilling 3-3 draw as recently as November. A draw at 29/10 represents the best value in terms of a result.
This game is likely to be much closer than the market suggests. Russia’s defeat to Uruguay was skewed by the lack of intensity in the hosts game and a first half red card. Spain have struggled to assert their possession and territorial dominance into results with just one group victory in three. A 1-1 scoreline is a likely outcome and is priced at 7/1.
Knockout matches tend to be cagier affairs than group games as there is more significance upon the result with sides swaying more towards caution. Russia are likely to adapt a conservative, safe approach to this game and try to nullify Spain’s passing threat. This clash could follow a similar pattern to Spain’s 1-0 group victory over Iran. Fewer than 2.5 goals is available at 4/6.
- Spain are unbeaten in 23 matches, a run stretching back to the 2016 European Championships
- Russia have not won any of their last four matches against other European nations, with their last victory coming against Hungary in June 2017
Lineups (From Last Match)
David De Gea, Dani Carvajal, Gerard Pique, Sergio Ramos, Jordi Alba, Thiago Alcantara, Sergio Busquets, Andres Iniesta, David Silva, Diego Costa, Isco
Igor Akinfeev, Igor Smolnikov, Ilya Kutepov, Sergei Ignashevich, Fyodor Kudryashov, Yury Gazinsky, Roman Zobnin, Denis Cheryshev, Aleksei Miranchuk, Aleksandr Samedov, Artem Dzyuba