Poland vs Colombia: Predictions, Odds and Betting Tips
24th June 2018 – 19.00 GMT
Group H – Kazan Arena, Kazan – TV: RTE
Poland and Colombia will try to get their World Cup points tallies off the mark when they meet in Kazan on Sunday evening. Both teams lost their first games in Group H, with the Poles losing to Senegal and the Colombians going down to Japan.
Colombia and Poland were the duo tipped by most to progress from an even-looking Group H but after just one match, the two nations are fighting an uphill battle to qualify for the round of 16.
The Colombians could count themselves unfortunate to get an early red card against Japan but Jose Pekerman’s side would still have hoped to get something from the game. It was only a third defeat in their last eight fixtures at World Cup finals.
The situation looks much more dire for Poland, who were very much second-best to Senegal. Key man Robert Lewandowski was quiet, while Adam Nawalka’s men also missed the influential presence of Kamil Glik in their back four. Glik might be back for the weekend and Polish fans worldwide will have everything crossed that he is. As things stand, you’d have to side with Colombia in this market at 23/20, offered by BetFair.
The standout attribute from both of these teams is their unpredictability. In the run-up to the World Cup finals, Colombia beat one of the favourites France 3-2 – but then drew 0-0 with both Egypt and Australia. Poland lost at home to Nigeria in March but then secured a spirited draw with Chile this month.
One thing is for sure: this one is unlikely to be goalless. Colombia have never been involved in a stalemate at a World Cup finals – a record stretching back 19 matches and 56 years.
Poland’s only clean sheet in their last six has come against Lithuania and, backed by a passionate support, Colombia should be expected to find the back of the net a few times again. A 2-0 win for Pekerman’s charges is at 10/1 from Bet365.
There have been 16 goals scored in Poland’s last four matches with Nawalka failing to shore up his leaky backline. A mix-up between Wojciech Szczesny and Jan Bednarek against Senegal was symptomatic of the problems they face.
They do have Lewandowski at the other end of the pitch but Colombia have plenty of sources of goals – James Rodriguez and Radamel Falcao to name two.
Over 1.5 goals is at 1/3 from 888sport.
Poland and Colombia will face each other in their second fixture of Group H play. This is a finely balanced group which also includes Japan and Senegal, with all four sides hopeful of progressing.
- Colombia have won only two of their last ten matches
- Juan Fernando Quintero scored his third international goal against Japan –
Quintero to score first – 17/2 William Hill.
- Poland have won only two of their previous nine games at the World Cup finals
- Robert Lewandowski had netted four in three Poland appearances prior to his blank against Senegal
Lewandowski to score two or more – 11/2 at William Hill
- Poland have not beaten South American opposition since June 2011 (2-1 v Argentina)
Poland 1-2 Colombia – International friendly – 30th May 2006
These two nations have met a total of seven times, with Colombia winning four times and Poland twice.
World Cup Qualifiers
Poland – who are at their first World Cup finals since 2006 – can call on star striker Robert Lewandowski along with his strike partner Arkadiusz Milik.
Adam Nawalka’s side topped their qualification group and will be confident of continuing their improving record in major finals.
Top Goalscorers in Qualifiers
Robert Lewandowski – 16 goals
Kamil Grosicki – 3 goals
Jose Pekerman’s Colombia will be slight favourites in the group having progressed through the qualification group in South America.
Stars of the South American’s campaign four years ago – Radamel Falcao, James Rodriguez and Juan Cuadrado – still remain and they will be hopeful of replicating that run.
Top Goal Scorers in Qualifiers
James Rodriguez – 6 goals
Carlos Bacca – 3 Goals
19:00 – Kazan Stadium