Germany vs Sweden: Predictions, Odds and Betting Tips

Game is over with the score:
2 – 1 

Germany 10/21 | Draw 16/5 | Sweden 6/1

Germany and Sweden will face each other in their second fixture of Group F play. Germany are favourites to win the group while Sweden are also vying for a top two spot along with Mexico and South Korea.


Germany are set to be favourites to win this match against their fellow European side. However, the situation is not so clear after the opening round of results which saw Germany lose out to Mexico and Sweden beat South Korea. However, Germany are still priced at 4/11 to qualify from the group stage.


This is the second match of Group F between Germany and Sweden, which could prove pivotal in deciding who qualifies from the group. Joachim Low’s side fell to a surprise opening day defeat to Mexico while Sweden edged out South Korea 1-0 to leave the world champions in some early bother.


Sweden have eight clean sheets in their last 12 and three in a row, with their strength firmly based in defense despite Germany’s attacking threat, this game could be cagey. Fewer than 2.5 goals at 11/10 appears to represent value.

Both teams to score

Despite Germany carrying a significant attacking threat with Thomas Muller, Timo Werner and Marco Reus but Sweden’s strength is in nullifying their opponents. Only one goal has gone in at either end in Sweden’s last three matches. To bet against both teams scoring is available at 4/6.


  Germany Draw Sweden
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  • This will be the 37th meeting between these two sides, with Germany winning the last meeting 5-3 back in October 2013 in a World Cup qualifier
  • Thomas Muller has scored 38 international goals for Germany, more than any other active player for his country
    World Cup Top Scorer Odds – 50/1
  • Germany won all 10 qualification matches for this summer’s World Cup in a group including Czech Republic and Northern Ireland
  • Sweden’s best ever performance in the World Cup was a third-placed finish in 1994 and whilst there are not similar expectations this time round, they now have renewed hope of progressing through the group.
    Sweden to qualify for second round – 11/8

Why Should I Bet On Germany against Sweden?


If Germany are to pull off that rare feat of winning back-to-back World Cups they’ll have to improve hugely from the display in defeat to Mexico, Another 90 minutes like that and Joachim Low’s side could be going home after the group stage. They’re 1/3 to win, a price that is perhaps based more on reputation than what was on show on Sunday.

Sweden go into the game on the back of a narrow win over South Korea but there wasn’t the same kind of energy on display as Mexico produced to stun the World Cup holders. They’re an altogether more workmanlike side and if a Sweden win at 8/1 is going to come in, they’re going to have to work for it. The 4/1 draw might be more like it.

Under 2.5 Goals

Sweden don’t have many goals in them. Germany should have a fair few, but they were so lethargic against Mexico that it’s become hard to say for sure. Whatever the outcome in this fixture it’s not likely to be a goal-fest. Under 2.5 goals is Evens, and over is 8/11.

That’s a more optimistic prediction than under 1.5 goals, which is 11/4 but would put you in good stead for a narrow 1-0 win either way, or a dull goalless draw. Over 1.5 goals is 1/4 and that at least seems unlikely.

Correct Score

Germany entered the World Cup as one of the strong favourites to be victorious come mid-July and already, before even the first round of group games has been completed, that’s changed. But a straightforward win over Sweden – 2-0 is 9/2 – would put Low’s side back on track and settle a few nerves for any punters who backed Germany before the start of the tournament.

If Sweden were to replicate Mexico’s deserved smash-and-grab and take a 1-0 win – available at 18/1 – then not only would Germany’s tournament be over, but punters would start to look at the Swedes differently. It’s not an exaggeration to suggest this match will be pivotal to both teams’ World Cup futures.


Sweden 3-5 Germany – World Cup qualifier – 15th October 2013

These two nations have met a total of 36 times, with Germany winning 15 and Sweden 13.

World Cup Qualifiers


Joachim Low’s side are aiming to become the first side since Brazil in 1962 to retain their World Cup title and are once again one of the tournament’s standout sides.

Die Mannschaft will be strong favourites to advance from a group which includes Sweden and South Korea, with the majority of their 2014 winning side still in place including Bayern Munich’s Manuel Neuer, Mats Hummels, Jerome Boateng and Thomas Muller.

Top Goalscorers in Qualifiers

Thomas Muller – 5 Goals 

Sandro Wagner – 5 Goals

  • Retired from international football


Sweden, who finished third in 1994, are into their first finals in 12 years and caused a shock by eliminating three-time champion Italy in the qualification playoff.

Janne Andersson’s side no longer possess star striker Zlatan Ibrahimovic but do have a strong, well-balanced squad.

Top Goal Scorers in Qualifiers

Marcus Berg – 8 goals

Emil Forsberg – 4 goals

9/2 Sweden World Cup Top Goalscorer – bet365


Germany: Manuel Neuer (captain), Marvin Plattenhardt, Jonas Hector, Matthias Ginter, Mats Hummels, Sami Khedira, Julian Draxler, Toni Kroos, Timo Werner, Mesut Özil, Marco Reus, Kevin Trapp, Thomas Müller, Leon Goretzka, Niklas Süle, Antonio Rüdiger, Jérôme Boateng, Joshua Kimmich, Sebastian Rudy, Julian Brandt, İlkay Gündoğan, Marc-André ter Stegen.


Sweden: Andreas Granqvist (captain), Robin Olsen, Mikael Lustig, Victor Lindelöf, Martin Olsson, Ludwig Augustinsson, Sebastian Larsson, Albin Ekdal, Marcus Berg, Emil Forsberg, John Guidetti, Karl-Johan Johnsson, Gustav Svensson, Filip Helander, Oscar Hiljemark, Emil Krafth, Viktor Claesson, Pontus Jansson, Marcus Rohdén, Ola Toivonen, Jimmy Durmaz, Isaac Kiese Thelin, Kristoffer Nordfeldt.


(Group F)

16:00 – Sochi Stadium

Germany 10/21 | Draw 16/5 | Sweden 6/1

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