Colombia vs England – Preview, Predictions and Betting Tips
This match is over.
Final score: Colombia 1 – 1 England
England win on penalties (3-4)
You can bet on the next matches:
3rd July 2018 – 19.00 GMT
Otkrytiye Arena, Moscow – TV: RTE
Colombia recovered from a surprising defeat to Japan to win their final two group matches and top Group H. Jose Pekerman’s men have momentum on their side going into the knockout rounds and have lost just three times in their last 16 matches. However, they may have to do without star man James Rodriguez on Tuesday after he hobbled off against Senegal.
England’s defeat to Belgium was their first competitive loss under Gareth Southgate and their first since the humiliating exit to Iceland at the European Championships two years ago. If Colombia were to send the Three Lions back home it wouldn’t be as shameful as that but the bookmakers still have England as favourites to reach the quarter-finals.
With the odds set how they are, there’s little value in backing England to win against such strong opposition. Indeed, Colombia’s odds of 3/1 to win are too good to pass up.
England have conceded in each of their three matches so far, with two of those games coming against opposition far weaker than Colombia. With the possible absence of John Stones due to injury, it could hamper England’s efforts to improve defensively, too.
The Colombians have kept clean sheets in four of their last five outings and looked unlikely to concede against Poland and Senegal in the group stage. However, their creativity going forward seems to rely on the invention of James Rodriguez and if he misses the game, there could be a dearth of scoring opportunities.
It will be tight in Moscow and the odd goal could be enough. A 1-0 Colombia victory is at 17/2.
Colombia haven’t conceded with 11 men on the pitch in over 430 minutes of football, with coach Pekerman having drilled his players well in the run-up to the tournament.
England have scored plenty of goals of late but blanked against the Belgians and don’t tend to hit the back of the net very often against the more established football nations. Inside the last 12 months, Southgate’s side have scored a combined total of two goals against Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Brazil and Belgium. Under 1.5 goals can be backed at 8/5.
- Defender Yerry Mina scored in both of Colombia’s group stage victories
- England’s last victory against South American opposition in a competitive game came in the round of 16 at the World Cup in 2006