Germany vs Sweden: Predictions, Odds and Betting Tips

World Cup Germany Sweden

This match is over.
Final score:  Germany 2-1 Sweden

For the match – South Korea vs Germany.

For the match – Mexico vs Sweden.

 

23rd June 2018 – 19:00 GMT
Group F – Sochi Stadium


Germany 3/8 | Draw 15/4 | Sweden 15/2


Germany are aiming to secure successive World Cup titles and they’ve been drawn in a relatively straight-forward looking group. Sweden are likely to provide their toughest challenge at this stage of the tournament and Janne Andersson’s side will be typically well-organised and tactically astute. They’ve been playing as an effective unit since the retirement of Zlatan Ibrahimovic and they will believe that they can thwart Joachim Low’s side at the Fisht Olympic Stadium.


Other Bookmakers

Germany were below-par in their first game but it’s always difficult to write off Joachim Low’s side. They were caught on the break on a numerous occasions but they have a couple of days to work on their organisation at the back. They still possess a significant threat in the final third and there is likely to be an urgency about their play. They can be backed at 4/11 with bwin and it’s likely that they will bounce back.

Sweden looked good against South Korea but they appear to be a bit limited in the final third and their lack of quality up front could come back to haunt them.

Germany vs Sweden Preview

The holders were surprisingly beaten in their opening Group F clash with Mexico and they must bounce back in this game. Joachim Low’s side struggled pre-tournament, although they remained prominent in the outright market. They found it difficult to create clear-cut chances against El Tri and Sweden are likely to take a similar approach in this match. Germany need to be more purposeful in order to break down Janne Andersson’s side. They looked vulnerable on the break and Sweden will fancy their chances of getting something.

The Scandinavian side picked up three points from their opening Group F match with South Korea but they weren’t overly convincing. They found themselves under pressure throughout the last ten minutes but managed to hold firm. South Korea’s wayward finishing was partly to blame but Germany are likely to be more accurate in the final third. Victor Lindelof could return after missing the first game through illness.

Germany vs Sweden Both Teams to Score Prediction


Other Bookmakers

The World Cup 2018 hasn’t produced many high-scoring games in the opening five days and this is unlikely to be an end-to-end, five-goal thriller. Sweden are extremely well-disciplined and will look to stifle the German attack at every opportunity. Germany know the importance of picking up something from this game and they may be a little nervous. They can’t afford to make any more mistakes and are likely to be extra vigilant at the back following Sunday’s slip-up. Both Teams to Score? No is available at 3/4 with Betfair and should be backed.

Germany vs Sweden Correct Score Prediction

Germany should get back to winning ways but they aren’t likely to run away with this game. Expect a tense, cagey 90 minutes which could potentially open up in the second half. 1-0 and 2-0 scorelines will be amongst the most popular selections in the correct score market and they look worth backing. 

Germany vs Sweden Odds

Germany are starting as 4/11 favourites with bwin. Sweden are incredibly difficult to beat and it’s 4/1 for the game to end all square. Sweden can be backed at 6/1 to collect all three points here.

Mexico and Sweden sit joint-top on three points. They share the same goal difference after both picking up 1-0 wins.

Statistics

There have been eight goals in each of the last two meetings between these sides. Over 2.5 Goals is available at 8/11 with William Hill

  • Sweden haven’t beaten Germany since the 1958 World Cup
  • Sweden kept South Korea’s chances to a minimum during their first Group F game. The Asian side had no shots on target in 90 minutes.
  • Germany had 18 shots in their 1-0 defeat to Mexico and commanded 66% possession
  • Sweden scored just a single goal in their three group games at Euro 2016. It was an own goal by Ireland’s Ciaran Clark

Why Should I Bet On Germany Against Sweden?

1×2

Group F at the World Cup finals certainly hasn’t gone as expected so far. World champions Germany suffered a shock loss to Mexico in their first game; only one previous World Cup winner has gone on to lift the trophy after losing their opening match. And while Sweden’s victory over South Korea was more expected, it certainly opens up the unthinkable possibility of Joachim Low’s side not making the round of 16.

But Die Mannschaft are known for their consistency and the German national team haven’t failed to win in two competitive fixtures since way back in October 2014. Low will surely be looking towards that statistic, rather than a more worrying one – it’s just one win in seven for Germany now, and that came against Saudi Arabia.

Fortunately for them, Sweden were rather unremarkable in their dull 1-0 win against South Korea. With the consequences of anything else unimaginable, Germany to win is at 2/5 with Bet365.

0-0 half-time score

Germany left huge, open gaps for Mexico to break into during the first half against the Central Americans – a defensive oversight which ended being the reason for their loss. Expect them to be more compact early on against the Swedes, with either Sami Khedira or Toni Kroos protecting the defence.

Each of Sweden’s last four games have been goalless at half time, with Janne Andersson building his team on the foundation of a strong defence.

As a result, Bet365’s odds of 9/4 for the scorers to be untroubled at the interval look to represent good value for money.

Correct score

With the likes of Thomas Muller and Mesut Ozil in their ranks, it’s puzzling that Germany have now scored only six times in their last seven fixtures, with two of those goals coming against the Saudis. Die Mannschaft had 26 shots against Mexico, aiming just nine on target and failing to beat Guillermo Ochoa.

Chosen frontman Timo Werner will need to improve in this second match or Low will look for other options, including the relatively prolific Mario Gomez who has 31 goals from 76 caps. Germany haven’t failed to score for two games in a row since October 2007.

Sweden have kept three clean sheets in a row and nine of their last ten matches have seen a maximum of two goals scored. Germany should bounce back but it won’t be easy. A 1-0 German win is at 6/1 with bet365.

Head to Head

These two sides have met on a number of occasions and their most recent meetings have been high-scoring affairs. Sweden haven’t beaten Germany since 1942 and they have never triumphed in a competitive game.

Recent results:

  • Sweden 3-5 Germany – 15/10/2013
  • Germany 4-4 Sweden – 16/10/2012
  • Sweden 0-0 Germany – 17/11/2010
  • Germany 3-0 Sweden – 15/08/2006

World Cup Qualifiers

Germany

Germany eased their way to Russia at the top of UEFA Group C, amassing a maximum 30 points from their ten games. They finished 11 points ahead of Northern Ireland and conceded just four times during qualifying. They ended with a goal difference of +39 and looked extremely classy throughout.

Top Goalscorers

Thomas Muller – 5 Goals – 25/1 with 888Sport to finish as top goalscorer at the 2018 World Cup

Sandro Wagner – 5 Goals – Retired from international football

Timo Werner – 3 Goals – 16/1 with Bet365 to finish as top goalscorer at the 2018 World Cup

Sweden

Sweden were drawn in a tough-looking Group A alongside France and the Netherlands. They finished second behind Les Bleus with 19 points and progressed to the play-off match on goal difference. They triumphed 1-0 on aggregate across the two legs against Italy to shock the footballing world and book their place at the tournament.

Top Goalscorers

Marcus Berg – 8 Goals – 100/1 with 10Bet to finish as top goalscorer at the 2018 World Cup

Emil Forsberg – 4 Goals – 200/1 with Bet365 to finish as top goalscorer at the 2018 World Cup

 

Lineups

Germany

Goalkeepers – Manuel Neuer, Kevin Trapp, Marc-Andre Ter Stegen

Defenders – Joshua Kimmich, Mats Hummels, Jerome Boateng, Matthias Ginter, Jonas Hector, Antonio Rudiger, Niklas Sule, Marvin Plattenhardt.

Midfielders – Julian Brandt, Julian Draxler, Leon Goretska, Ilkay Gundogan, Sami Khedira, Toni Kroos, Mesut Ozil, Sebastian Rudy.

Forwards – Thomas Muller, Mario Gomez, Marco Reus, Timo Werner.

Sweden

Goalkeepers – Robin Olsen, Karl-Johan Johnsson, Kristoffer Nordfeldt.

Defenders – Mikael Lustig, Victor Lindelhof, Martin Olsson, Ludwig Augustinsson, Filip Helander, Andreas Grandqvist, Pontus Jansson, Emil Krafth.

Midfielders – Sebastian Larsson, Albin Ekdal, Emil Forsberg, Viktor Claesson, Gustav Svensson, Oscar Hiljemark, Marcus Rohden, Jimmy Durmaz.

Forwards – Marcus Berg, John Guidetti, Ola Toivonen, Isaac Kiese Thelin.


germanyGermanyvsSwedensweden

(Group F)

19:00 – Sochi Stadium

Germany 3/8 | Draw 15/4 | Sweden 15/2



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