Germany vs Mexico Preview, Tips and Betting Predictions

World Cup Germany vs Mexico

This match is over.
Final score:  Germany 0-1 Mexico

For the match – Germany vs Sweden.

For the match – Korea Republic vs Mexico.

 

17th June 2018 – 16:00 UK Time

Group F

Stadium: Luzhniki Stadium

TV: BBC

Holders Germany will be aiming to become the first side in over 50 years to win successive World Cups when they kick off their Group F campaign in Moscow. The 2014 champions have been drawn alongside Sweden, South Korea and Mexico and will fancy their chances of a straightforward passage to the round of 16. They set a new qualifying record en-route to securing their place in Russia with a goal difference of +39. They remained unbeaten throughout the campaign and struck five times against Azerbaijan despite having their place at the 2018 World Cup already assured. 21 different players got on the scoresheet during their successful qualification campaign, showcasing the tremendous strength-in-depth that they possess.

Mexico topped their qualification group but the quality of opposition was debatable and many supporters are still unsure about a number of players who feature regularly in the starting eleven. El Tri don’t have a great record of getting past the knockout rounds but they will be aiming to exceed expectations in Russia. They have been boosted by the news that Andres Guardado has undergone successful surgery and should be fit enough to compete. They begin their campaign against the holders and will be looking to put in a respectable performance.

These two sides met at the 1998 World Cup with Germany emerging 2-1 winners that day. They’ve met twice since. Their last two meetings have been in the Confederations Cup, as a young German side thrashed Mexico 4-1 in June 2017 with Leon Goretzka netting twice, whilst they needed extra time to complete a 4-3 victory back in 2005. Michael Ballack scored the winner.

At the end of March, Germany drew 1-1 with Spain in an international friendly before losing 1-0 to Brazil. Mexico were 3-0 winners against Iceland in March and will be hoping to use that as a springboard.

Germany vs Mexico Predictions

Germany will be expected to get off to a winning start and it’s hard to argue against them here. They are the defending champions and their squad is continually getting stronger. Joachim Low has signed a new contract and they are all pulling in the same direction. They begin the game as a short price but they should win this opening encounter at a canter.

Bet365 are offering 4/9 for a Germany victory here and that looks a standout price on the holders. 10Bet are also offering 29/20 on Germany to Win and Over 2.5 Goals which usually lands when these two sides face one another.

Germany -1 on the handicap market will also be extremely popular with punters and it’s a great way of unearthing value. They should encounter very few problems in Moscow and to secure victory by at least a two-goal margin is highly likely. NetBet are offering 5/4 on this.

Goals are expected to feature heavily in this tie and Germany were ruthless during qualifying.

888Sport are offering Evens on Over 2.5 Goals in this tie with Germany perfectly capable of netting three times all three of the goals. Over 3.5 Goals is available at 27/10 for the more ambitious punter.

It’s 12/1 for a 3-1 correct score with Royal Panda and this is seen as the likeliest outcome for this encounter. Mexico could play their part in a hugely entertaining game but inevitably Joachim Low’s side will find a way of securing three points.

Statistics

  • Germany have never lost to Mexico in a competitive fixture
  • Germany scored 43 times during their 10 qualification matches
  • They have been involved in 19 of the 21 World Cups so far
  • 1978 was the last time that Germany failed to make it past the group stages

Germany to reach the final (5/2 with 10Bet)

  • They conceded just four times throughout the entire 2014 tournament
  • Miroslav Klose netted 16 times in this competition and remains the all-time leading goalscorer
  • Mexico have only failed to qualify for three World Cups (1934, 1974 and 1982)
  • They hold the record for the most second-round eliminations (six)
  • They have reached the round of 16 in each of the last six World Cups
  • They only conceded one goal during the 2014 group stage and kept a clean sheet against Brazil

Why Should I Bet On Germany Against Mexico?

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Despite being second favourites win the World Cup, Germany don’t come into the tournament in high spirits. It was all going swimmingly for the current holders, winning all ten of their qualifying matches as they attempt to become the first nation to lift the trophy twice in a row since Brazil 56 years ago.

But performances have stagnated since with last weekend’s victory over Saudi Arabia their first in six. The majority of those games came against tough sides like France and Brazil, though, and Mexico – who have been far from impressive in warm-up fixtures themselves – don’t have enough to deny the Germans an opening win. Germany are 4/9 to win with William Hill.

Thomas Muller to score first

Thomas Muller just loves a World Cup. Despite having never scored at a European Championships, the Bayern Munich man netted five times in South Africa in 2010 and returned the same tally in Brazil four years later.

At just 28 years old, Muller could have at least two more tournaments in him and could be chasing down compatriot Miroslav Klose’s 16-goal all-time record. At 4/1 with William Hill to score the first goal against Mexico, Muller could move closer towards that target.

Correct score

Germany scored a massive 43 goals in their 10 qualification games, hammering the likes of the Czech Republic and Norway. They were also in great form at last year’s Confederations Cup, where they recorded a 4-1 victory over Mexico in the semi-finals.

In contrast, Mexico’s attack has been nowhere near as effective – particularly in 2018. El Tri have found the back of the net only once in the four fixtures prior to the start of the tournament as Denmark, Croatia and Wales shut them out. Facing three of the four defenders Germany used on the way to their World Cup win last time out, that record is unlikely to change. Germany are at 17/2 to win 3-0 with William Hill.

Lineups

Germany – Ter Stegen, Boateng, Hummels, Kimmich, Plattenhardt, Kroos, Rudy, Draxler, Goretzka, Muller, Wagner.

Mexico – Jose Corona, Morena, Layun, Reyes, Salcedo, Guardado, Aquino, Herrera, dos Santos, Hernandez, Jesus Corona.


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