Vikings vs Packers: Predictions, Odds and Betting Tips
Sunday November 25th, 8:20 pm ET
U.S. Bank Stadium
These two teams are coming off disappointing losses, in the midst of what could be disappointing seasons. They face off on Sunday night in hopes of keeping pace in the NFC playoff race.
If the Packers can pull off a win on Sunday night, they will pull themselves into a tie with Minnesota for second place in the NFC North. To upset Minnesota on the road they will have to vastly improve their play across the board, as well as their coaching and schematics. After a week 10 victory, it seemed as if Mike McCarthy came to the realization that the rest of the nation had weeks ago, that Aaron Jones deserved and needed more touches for the Packers to be successful. Then week 11 came, and McCarthy reverted back to his idiotic ways, giving Jones an underwhelming 11 touches in the run game, which to no one’s surprise, aided to yet another Packers loss.
The Vikings struggled getting anything going on offense for the majority of their Sunday night loss at the hands of the Chicago Bears, until the final few minutes. Minnesota scored 17 of their 20 points in the fourth quarter. Minnesota, a top seven rushing offense from a year ago, has been anything but impressive this year. The Vikings are second-to-last in team rushing yards on the season. If you tuned in for last Sunday night’s game, you could see why. Dalvin Cook and Latavius Murray touted the rock a combined 13 times, for a whopping 17 yards, an average of 1.25 ypc.
The Vikings will look to get their run game back on track vs. a Packers team who ranks just 24th against the run, and will be without Mike Daniels, an anchor in their front seven. Davante Adams will obviously get his in the passing game, but the struggle for other Green Bay wideouts to get open was paramount in last week’s loss, and will likely carry over into this week’s contest. Packer receivers not named Davante Adams combined for an appalling two receptions vs. Chicago. Minnesota ranks 6th against the pass on the season, and is coming off a game where, excluding Chicago’s top receiver, they surrendered only seven receptions to all other Bear wideouts. Even if Green Bay decides to feature Aaron Jones and the ground game, it may come with little success, as Minnesota’s rush defense is top four in the league.
Score prediction: Vikings win 27-24
Last time these two division rivals met, the game ended in a tie. The Packers score difference in three of their past five games has been by three points or less. Aaron Rodgers, as usual, will keep things interesting and keep Green Bay within 3.5 points.
In week two of this season we saw Green Bay and Minnesota combine for nearly 60 points. Both teams rank in the top eight for passing yards on the season, and combine for 48.8 points per game.
Head to Head
Oddly enough, in the last ten head to head matchups, Minnesota and Green Bay have tied twice, while going 4-4 in the rest of the games. They most recently matched up back in week two, where the score was 29-29.
- Green Bay is 4-8-1 ATS in their last 13 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 11 of Green Bay’s last 16 games.
- Green Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 road games.
- Minnesota is 17-6-1 SU in their last 24 games.
- Minnesota is 4-1-1 SU in their last 6 games vs. Green Bay.
- Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games when playing Green Bay at home.