Rockets vs Nuggets: Predictions, Odds and Betting Tips
Tuesday, November 13th, 9:00 pm (ET)
The Rockets are coming off a victory, but still stand as one of the league’s biggest disappointments to this point of the season. The Nuggets sit at 9-4, and currently place 3rd in the Western Conference.
We may have seen the last of Carmelo Anthony as a Houston Rocket, heck, we may have seen the last of Carmelo Anthony in the NBA, period. Melo didn’t dress for Houston’s recent victory vs. a talented Pacers team, and Houston responded with one of their best team victories of all season, winning by 12, with James Harden chipping in with 40 points. While Melo’s waiver is expected any day now, to peg Melo as Houston’s primary issue this year is utterly irresponsible. The team lost Trevor Ariza in the offseason, possibly the team’s best defender, as well as Luc Mbah a Moute, maybe their second best defender. Houston did not replace these two defensive stalwarts, and in return their defensive demise has ensued. Chris Paul has seemed to taken a slight step back as he continues to age, and James Harden has missed some time this year.
The Nuggets started the season 9-1, but have dropped three consecutive games. Most recently they fell to the Milwaukee Bucks, 121-114, and surrendered 20+ points to four of the Bucks’ five starters. Even with their recent struggles, Denver has impressed on the season, and is at the early parts of building a true contender in the West. Denver has four players currently averaging 16.5 points or more. Jamal Murray is budding into a go-to scorer, and Nikola Jokic continues to grow into one of, if not the leagues best two-way big man.
The Melo drama will continue to be held over Houston’s head, as he will not be on the court but will also not likely be waived by tip-off on Tuesday. The Rockets struggles defensively have been well televised this year, and frankly since James Harden has called “H-Town” his home. The Nuggets have one of the league’s best, well rounded starting fives in all basketball. Houston will struggle to defend all Denver’s offensive options. The backcourt of Jamal Murray and Gary Harris, in particular, will cause fits for an inadequate Rockets’ defense.
Score prediction: Nuggets win 104-99
- Houston Rockets at Denver Nuggets: Take Denver (SU)
Houston may be feeling good coming off a victory, but they may want to tame their excitement. This matchup vs. Denver starts a two game span where Houston faces off against two of the Western Conference’s three best teams. Nikola Jokic will shine as a passer in this one. Houston struggles with team defense, and will collapse on Jokic when posted in the point, leaving open shooters on the arc.
Denver has been held under 100 points only once this season, yet the Rockets have scored under 100 points in four of their last five games. Denver owns the leagues 4th ranked defense, and has talented one-on-one defenders at every level.
Head to Head
These two teams have faced off 182 times throughout the years, with Houston holding a favorable edge over Denver, with a 97-85 record. Houston has swept Denver the past two seasons, going 7-0 over that span.
- Houston is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games.
- Houston is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games when playing a team with a winning SU record.
- Houston is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on 1 day of rest.
- Denver is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Denver is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on 1 day of rest.
- Denver is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.