PIT Steelers at BAL Ravens: Predictions, Odds and Betting Tips
Sunday 11/4 1:00 PM (ET),
M&T Bank Stadium
Since losing to Baltimore in late September, Pittsburgh has caught fire, rallying off three consecutive victories and cementing themselves as the cream of the crop in the highly contested AFC North. Baltimore, on the other hand, is on a two game skid, and hoping to recapture their early season magic.
“Baltimore is a legit Super Bowl contender”, “Joe Flacco is back”, “This is the best Baltimore defense since the Ray Lewis era”. These are all statements made during the Ravens’ impressive 3-1 start. Recently, the B’more truthers are much harder to come by. Baltimore has lost three of their past four games, but due to what now seems like an outlier 21-0 victory in Tennessee, they have actually outscored their opponents 74-72 over those games. Flacco is coming off of a two interception game, and another bad outing could have the fans clambering for rookie Lamar Jackson to take over the reigns.
While Baltimore is seemingly on the decline, all arrows are pointing up for Pittsburgh. The Steelers are riding a three game win streak, where they have outscored opponents by a grand total of 46 points. The stellar play of second-year running back James Conner continues to make the return status of Le’Veon Bell the furthest thing on Steelers fans minds. Conner has spearheaded Pittsburgh’s three game win streak, averaging over 175 yards from scrimmage and six total touchdowns during that span.
Rivalry games are always close, regardless of the teams records. Baltimore’s defense will keep it close for three quarters or so, and if Joe Flacco can find John Brown on a few deep routes (116 yards in their last meeting), they may even make it interesting. Nonetheless, Pittsburgh has averaged 34 points over their win streak, and are hitting on all cylinders.
Score prediction: Steelers win 31-24
Baltimore is a struggling team at the moment. Their defense, once thought of as elite, has surrendered an average of 30 points over the past two weeks. Offensively, Ravens running backs have only cracked 50 yards rushing in one game this season (Alex Collins, 68 yards in week 3). Steelers, on the other hand, have manhandled teams, for the most part, over the past three weeks.
While the Steelers have a top 5 offense, the Ravens, even for all their struggles, have the 8th best passing offense in all of football, based on yards per game. Pittsburgh’s secondary, though improved, is no juggernaut. Yardage will be had on both sides, take the over.
Head to Head
This storied rivalry has been as competitive as you would expect over the past ten matchups. Baltimore holds a 6-4 edge over Pittsburgh, thanks to their 26-14 victory over the Steelers in week 3 of this season.
- Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
- Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh’s last 9 games.
- Pittsburgh is 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 matchups with Baltimore.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore’s last 6 games.
- Baltimore is 6-2 SU in their last 8 games at home.