PHI Eagles at NO Saints: Predictions, Odds and Betting Tips
Sunday 1/13 4:40 PM (ET)
Nick Foles’ storied run makes it’s way to New Orleans this week. As the Eagles will try to knock off the NFC top seeded Saints and advance to the conference championship game.
Nick Foles is now 11-2 as the Eagles starter over the past two seasons, including the playoffs. Philadelphia won last week’s Wild Card game in a thriller. Foles led what would become a game-winning touchdown drive in the final minutes. Bears’ kicker Cody Parkey did have an opportunity to put the Bears on top at the end of regulation. Now am I saying Foles sat on the sidelines with pursed lips, then proceed to exhale, creating an air current which maneuvered Parkey’s kick to the left and off the uprights? Maybe, maybe not. Yet one thing is clear, the football gods have apparently accepted Foles as one of their own. Question is, how much longer till he gets kicked back down to reality?
Betting sites odds peg the Saints as the favorites to hoist this season’s Super Bowl trophy (3.25 via 888sport). Yet they will first have to get past an Eagles team that has now won four consecutive games. In those four games, the Eagles scored 30+ points in two of them, and held opponents to 15 points or less in the other two.
Since Week 11, Drew Brees has eclipsed 203 yards passing just once. Also during that time, neither Alvin Kamara nor Mark Ingram has had a game over 89 yards rushing. The Eagles had great practice defending a smash and dash duo similar to that of the Saints a week ago. They passed that test with flying colors, holding Tarik Cohen and Jordan Howard to just 60 yards from scrimmage, 35 of which came on the ground. The Saints offense has been riddled with question marks since late November. A week of sitting their stars followed by a bye week isn’t going to miraculously fix their issues.
I’ll leave you with this stat, Since 2007, teams that rested their starters after locking up the #1 seed own an uninspiring 4-6 record in their first playoff game. None of them had Saint Nick manning the opponent’s offense.
Score prediction: Eagles win 28-27
We are following a week where betting sites placed a +8 line on the Eagles in a game, which they won SU. Now they follow it up by pegging the Birds as more than a touchdown underdog again this week. Their mistake will continue to put money in our pockets. The Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last five games, while Philly sits at 4-1-1 ATS in their past six.
The Eagles have eclipsed 30+ points in two of their past four games. The Saints, for all their struggles, still finished as the 3rd highest scoring offense in football. Also, it’s not like either team’s defense is some sort of juggernaut. The Saints surrendered 28 and 33 points to close out the regular season, while Philly’s backend of their defense continues to be a revolving door of no names.
Head to Head
The Saints have gone 6-4 over their past ten matchups with the Eagles. New Orleans destroyed Philly, 48-7 in week 11 of this year, while Carson Wentz was still at the helm of the Eagles’ offense.
- Philadelphia is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
- Philadelphia is 5-2 SU/ATS in their last 7 road games.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia’s last 9 games vs. New Orleans.
- New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 9 of New Orleans’ last 13 home games.
- New Orleans is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games vs. Philadelphia.