NO Saints at CAR Panthers Week 15: Predictions, Odds and Betting Tips
Monday 12/17 8:15 PM (ET),
Bank of America Stadium
The Panthers, losers of five straight, enter a virtual must-win vs. the 11-2 Saints. This is the first of two matchups between these two teams over the next three weeks.
After starting the season 6-2 and looking like legitimate contenders in the NFC, the Panthers have crumbled down the stretch, losing each of their past five games. The worse news is that a lot of these losses have come at the hands of blatantly less talented teams. The Lions, Bucs, and Browns have all been on the winning end over Carolina in the past month. A bright spot for Carolina has been the play of Christian McCaffrey. “Run CMC” averages over 125 total ypg, and has scored 13 touchdowns on the season.
Saints quarterback Drew Brees, the one-time favorite for the MVP award, has cooled down of late. Likely dealing with a dead arm, Brees has now gone three straight games without reaching 205 yards passing, two of which he threw for under 175 yards passing. Brees’ recent decline in play has also hurt Mike Thomas’ production. Since eclipsing 200 yards receiving in the team’s victory over the Rams, Thomas has not surpassed 100 yards receiving. He has also failed to break 40 yards receiving in two of his last three games.
These are two teams dealing with major issues at the moment. The Panthers must win to keep their playoff hopes alive, while the Saints must improve their play if they want to live up to all the high expectations they set on them selves only a few weeks ago. I believe the Panthers will win one of their games against New Orleans over the next three weeks, but it may not be this one. Despite McCaffrey being statistically better than Alvin Kamara this season, Carolina doesn’t have much firepower behind him. New Orleans has too many weapons at their disposal for the Panthers to keep pace with.
Score prediction: Saints win 27-24
The Panthers come into this game as a near touchdown underdog at home. Yet, since being blown out by the Steelers over a month ago, their average loss margin is only 4.3 ppg. The Saints have struggled to find their way offensively in recent weeks, losing to the Cowboys and struggling with Tampa Bay for three quarters.
This game will be very close the over/under line, but I think the talent on both sidelines will push the game over the 50.5 point mark. Though the Saints are in the midst of some offensive struggles, they are just a few weeks removed from scoring 30+ points in five straight contests. The Panthers have surrendered 30.4 ppg during their five game losing streak.
Head to Head
These two divisional rivals have matched up ten times since 2013, with each team capturing five victories.
- New Orleans is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games.
- New Orleans is 6-1 SU in their last 7 road games.
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans’ last 6 games vs. Carolina.
- Carolina is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games.
- Carolina is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games.
- The total has gone OVER in all of Carolina’s past five home games.