NE Patriots at PIT Steelers Week 15: Predictions, Odds and Betting Tips


Sunday, December 16th, 7:30 pm ET
Heinz Field

Predictions | Betting Tips | Odds | Statistics

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Both teams are coming off heart wrenching losses a week ago. New England will battle to keep their place atop the AFC East, while the Steelers try to keep pace in the playoff race.


The Patriots had their tenth win of the season a week ago, that is, until they didn’t. The Dolphins shocked the Patriots and the NFL world alike on a 55-yard multi-lateral frenzy that ended with Kenyan Drake in the endzone and another “L” in the loss column for the Pats. The game likely wouldn’t have even come down to that moment if not for Stephen Gostkowski, one of the best kickers in NFL history, missing an extra point as well as a 42-yard field goal. Even in a loss, the Pats showed improved play through the air. Tom Brady threw for 358 yards and three touchdowns on the day. While Rob Gronkowski, Josh Gordon, and Julian Edelman all finished the game with at least five receptions and 86 yards receiving.

Though the Patriots had approximately 17 seconds of disappointment a week ago, the Steelers disappointing play has raged on for three weeks now. Pittsburgh is now 0-3 in their last three contests, as their playoff hopes begin to slip away. Baltimore is now just a half game behind Pittsburgh for the division lead, and holds a much more favorable schedule throughout the rest of the season. Pittsburgh hopes to get running back James Conner back in the lineup this week, but those hopes may be far fetched. Mike Tomlin has left the door open for Conner to play on Sunday, but his injury was previously believed to be a multi week injury.

The Steelers have had many moments similar to these over the past few years, and eventually Mike Tomlin will lose his job because of it. A loss this week won’t help Tomlin’s cause. If you don’t think Bill Belichick will have his team ready to go this week, after that debacle to Miami a week ago, then you don’t know football. Don’t be surprised to see the Pats roll the Steelers come Sunday afternoon.

Score prediction: Patriots win 31-24

Betting Tips

Steelers will likely be without James Conner again this week, which is not good news for a team that averaged 2.1 ypc without him a week ago. Pittsburgh surrendered 322 yards to the now 3-10 Raiders. Brady, coming off a dominating week, may eclipse 400 yards against this secondary.

Both teams rank in the top six scoring offenses in the NFL. Both teams also surrender 22.5+ ppg on the defensive side of the ball. These teams possess too many playmakers to be held in check, so you can expect an explosive afternoon.


Head to Head

In a somewhat surprising stat, the Patriots-Steelers matchups have been extremely one sided as of late. New England has now won eight of their last ten matchups with Pittsburgh, including going 3-0 over the last three meetings.


  • New England is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games.
  • New England is 17-7 ATS in their last 24 road games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England’s last 6 games vs. Pittsburgh.
  • Pittsburgh is 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • Pittsburgh is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games.
  • Pittsburgh is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing at home vs. New England.


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