Italy vs Finland: Predictions, Betting Tips & Odds

Euro 2020 Italy vs Finland
Euro 2020 Italy vs Finland

Saturday, March 23rd 2019, @2:45 PM
Stadio Friuli-Udine
Group J

Italy 1.30| Draw 4.75| Finland 11.00

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Predictions | Betting Tips | Odds | Statistics

Italy kick off their Euro 2020 qualification against Finland at the Dacia Arena in Udine on Saturday night.


Italy are unbeaten in their last four international games which included a 1-0 win away to Poland and a goalless draw at home to Portugal in the UEFA Nations League – their last outing was a 1-0 win at home against the United States in November.

Finland were promoted from their UEFA Nations League group finishing on 12 points ahead of the likes of Hungary, Greece, and Estonia – they did however lose their last two games away to Greece and Hungary after assuring their promotion but prior to those losses they had only lost once in fourteen games.

Italy finished top of their last European Qualification Group with 24 points ahead of Croatia, Norway, Bulgaria, Azerbaijan, and Malta – and while in France under manager Antonio Conte they got as far as the Quarter Finals in the 2016 tournament before bowing out on penalties to Germany. 

Finland came fourth in their last European Qualification Group on 12 points behind Northern Ireland, Romania, and Hungary but ahead of the Faroe Islands and Greece – a 1-0 win away to Greece being the highlight of their qualifying games. Italy can win by more than that here – 2-1.

Betting Tips

Italy to win                                                             

The Italians need to shake off the disaster of failing to qualify for the World Cup in Russia and under new manager Roberto Mancini they are building a younger side keen to do well in the 2020 tournament – a home win here is vital for them to kick off their march to the finals. 

Total goals over 2.5

The Azzurri have scored just three times in their last five games while the Finns have a slightly better record of hitting the back of the net four times in their last five – meaning neither side are prolific in front of goal.


1 x 2 Odds

  Italy  Draw Finland
Intertops Odds


Head to Head

These sides have met 11 times down through the years with the Italians winning ten of them – a 0-0 draw back in 1975 in a European Championship Qualifier the only time Finland haven’t lost. The last time the sides met was in 2016 in a June friendly which ended as a 2-0 win for the Azzurri.


  • Italy haven’t lost a home game in European Championship Qualifying since a 3-2 loss to Denmark back in 1999 which is a run of 20 games – and they have never lost a World Cup Qualifier either.
  • Finland won seven of their last 25 European Championship qualifiers away from home and drew their last tie 1-1 in Bucharest to Romania.
  • Norwich City’s Teemu Pukki is the Championship’s top goals scorer with 24 goals to his name so far this season and he has found the back of the net 15 times in 69 appearances for his country and could be a possible danger man in this match.  
  • Italy will be looking to qualify for the 2020 tournament and reach the final like they did in 2012 and 2000 and lift the trophy for the first time since 1968.
  • Finland will be hoping to qualify for their first ever championship tournament.  


Italy 1.30| Draw 4.75| Finland 11.00

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