IND Colts at TEN Titans: Predictions, Odds and Betting Tips
Sunday 12/30 8:20 PM (ET),
This is the game of the week, as Indianapolis takes on Tennessee to see who locks down the final wild card spot in the AFC.
The Titans have won four games in a row to put them into a win-and-in scenario in the final week of the NFL regular season. The Titans have had a shift in philosophy over this timespan, becoming a run focused team. Derrick Henry, who hadn’t rushed the football more than 12 times in single game since week three, has amassed 71 carries over his last three games. With those touches, Henry has garnered 492 yards on the ground, more yards then he totalled for from weeks 1-13.
The Colts came away with an ugly victory against the New York Giants a week ago to help add to their now 8-1 record over their last nine games. The Colts did, however, impress in one vital category in last week’s matchup. Indianapolis held the otherworldly Saquon Barkley to an average of just 2.0 ypc on 21 carries. The Colts front seven will be relied upon greatly in the hopes of slowing down Derrick Henry and the Titans run game.
Tennessee will be without their best front seven player Jurrell Casey, as he has been placed on IR. They did, however, get good news on Thursday, when Marcus Mariota returned to practice in a limited role. Tennessee believes Mariota has a “very good chance” of playing on Sunday night. Even if Mariota is healthy enough to go this week, he will likely be hobbled. Indianapolis has played two of their past three games vs. “dual-threat” QBs. DeShaun Watson and Dak Prescott averaged just 236.5 ypg through the air in those games, while totalling just 36 yards rushing combined. If Tennessee can’t get their run game going they have no chance of coming out of this game victorious.
Score prediction: Colts win 24-17
Indianapolis has dominated ATS in their last 14 games vs. Tennessee, going 11-3, and this game should fair no differently. Andrew Luck is the best player on the field, and Luck’s 31-11 TD-INT ratio means he will put his team in the best position to win. If the Colts defense can continue to thrive in stopping the run, the Titans will become one-dimensional, something they will not be able to overcome.
The total has gone UNDER in five of Indianapolis’ last six games. Andrew Luck has not had to do as much as the Colts’ defense has continued to grow. Tennessee has struggled putting points on the scoreboard all season long, scoring the 6th fewest points in all of the NFL.
Head to Head
Indianapolis has dominated Tennessee over their last ten matchups, winning eight of them. The Colts defeated the Titans soundly in week 11 of this year, 38-10.
- Indianapolis is 8-1 SU in their last 9 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis’ last 6 games.
- Indianapolis is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games vs. Tennessee.
- Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.
- Tennessee is 1-5 SU in their last 6 home games vs. Indianapolis.
- Tennessee is 2-12 SU in their last 14 games vs. Indianapolis.