IND Colts at KC Chiefs: Predictions, Odds and Betting Tips

Colts@Chiefs Wild Card Round NFL
NFL Colts@Chiefs Wild Card Round

Saturday 1/12 4:35 PM (ET)
Arrowhead Stadium

Predictions | Betting TipsStatistics

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The Colts travel to Arrowhead to face off with the AFC’s number one seed, the Kansas City Chiefs. This is an unparalleled matchup between two QB’s that combined for 89 touchdown passes in the regular season, the most between two QB’s in a playoff matchup ever.


The Colts played the most complete game of any NFL team on Wild Card weekend. Indianapolis’ defense shut out Houston’s offense for three quarters, and surrendered just seven points when it was all said and done. Andrew Luck made throws that few others in this league could make, and is finally accompanied by a skill group and o-line that compliments his talents. Marlon Mack has been a revelation in his second NFL season. Since week six, Mack is the 4th leading rusher in all of football, and that doesn’t count the 148-yard performance he put forth a week ago.

Everyone knows Kansas City is talented. They posses the most explosive offense in football, behind Patrick Mahomes and his 50 touchdown passes. The issue at hand is not the Chief passing game, but rather a .500 finish in the final four games of the regular season, combined with a questionable run game and a horrendous defense. Kansas City starting running backs have eclipsed 75+ yards rushing only once in their past nine games. Their defense, the second to last ranked unit in all of football, surrendered an average of 30.1 ppg in their final eight contests of the regular season.

The Colts offense is hitting on all cylinders, while the Chiefs defense can’t stop a nosebleed. Patrick Mahomes is the new golden boy of the NFL, and rightfully so. Yet Andrew Luck at one time was bestowed with that same honor, until injuries derailed his once-promising career. Now, in 2019, Luck is back on top of the football world. Luck will enter the Kansas City game with his best supporting cast of all time, and recapture his throne as a future all-time great.

Score prediction: Colts win 31-27 

Betting Tips

Colts (+5.5) at Chiefs (-5.5) Via BetWay: Take Colts (+5.5)

Thank you to the top betting sites for bestowing us with such an amazing spread. The Chiefs come in as a near touchdown favorite over a Colts team that has lost just one game since week six. Kansas City has gone just 1-5-1 ATS over their last seven games. This spread has winnings written all over it for anyone taking Indianapolis with the points. 

Over/Under 57 pts. Via BetWay: Take the OVER

Two of the top five scoring offenses in all of football take the main stage on Saturday. The total has gone OVER in all but one game over Kansas City’s past six contests.


Head to Head

Indianapolis holds a prominent 7-3 lead over Kansas City in their last ten matchups. The Chiefs did however capture the most recent victory, a 30-14 victory at home, in October of 2016.


  • Indianapolis is 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • Indianapolis is 7-1 SU & 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. Kansas City.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indianapolis’ last 8 games.
  • Kansas City is 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games.
  • Kansas City is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City’s last 6 games.

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