IND Colts at HOU Texans : Predictions, Odds and Betting Tips
Saturday 1/5 4:35 PM (ET)
Two of the brightest young guns at the quarterback position take front stage in the AFC Wild Card Round. The Houston Texans and Indianapolis Colts, two division rivals, face off this Saturday.
Andrew Luck makes his first appearance in a playoff game since the 2014 NFL season, and he is certainly hoping he’ll have his main deep threat, TY Hilton, at his disposal come game time. Hilton is listed as questionable with an ankle injury, but if recent weeks are any indication, Hilton will be good to go. Hilton hasn’t practiced much since the team’s week 9-bye, yet he was still active for every game, and productive at that. Hilton eclipsed 124 yards receiving in half of his final eight games of the season. The Colts also get Ryan Kelly back at center, which should only help improve the ever-developing run game in Indianapolis, led by the underrated Marlon Mack.
Houston comes into this game with home field advantage, and an 11-5 record on the season. Yet, Houston’s play down the stretch leaves room for concern. The Texans went 2-2 in their final four games, and their defense surrendered an average of 424.3 yards in three of those four games. One of those games was against Indianapolis, who put up 436 total yards in that 24-21 win over Houston. It probably doesn’t help that Houston’s 35-year old cornerback Jonathan Joseph called TY Hilton a “clown” earlier this week. Hilton, the NFL’s top deep threat, likely gets the last laugh come Saturday.
The Colts come in quietly ranked as the 11th best defense in football. Houston owns the worst O-Line in the playoffs, and possibly the league at that. The Texans have surrendered six more sacks than any other team in the NFL this season. Offensively, Houston’s leading rushers (excluding Watson) have averaged less than 28 ypg since week 14. Houston may come into the game with the better record, but Indianapolis is blatantly the more complete team.
Score prediction:Colts win 31-27
With top betting sites putting a miniscule spread on the game, you have to go with the team you expect to win. Indianapolis is above average or great in any category that Houston struggles against. The Texans have been on the decline in the final month of the season, while the Colts are riding a four game win streak.
The Texans’ defensive struggles have been well publicized in this article, and this trend should continue against the NFL’s 7th ranked offensive unit of the Colts. Houston is no scrub offensively, and the Colts are just a game removed from surrendering 27 points and nearly 400 total yards to a five win Giants team.
Head to Head
Indianapolis holds the slight edge over their division rivals over their last ten matchups. The Colts have gone 6-4 vs. the Texans, including a 24-21 victory less than a month ago.
- Indianapolis is 9-1 SU in their last 10 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis’ last 6 road games.
- Indianapolis is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. Houston.
- Houston is 7-12-2 ATS in their last 21 games.
- Houston is 3-8-2 ATS in their last 13 games vs. Indianapolis.
- The total has gone OVER in 10 of Houston’s last 14 home games vs. Indianapolis.