NFL Houston Texans vs New England Patriots NFL

Houston Texans Vs New England Patriots: Predictions, Odds and Betting Tips

 

NFL Houston Texan vs New England Patriots

Sunday, September 9, 1:00pm Eastern Time
Gillette Stadium

Predictions | Betting Tips | Odds | Statistics

DeShaun Watson returns to the lineup ready to show the world that his Houston Texans are prepared to compete with the big dogs of the AFC.

 

Predictions

Houston gets back their rising star, DeShaun Watson, to spearhead what could be one of the best offenses in all of football. The Texans are a completely different team with Watson. They were +21.7 points with him as their starter, as opposed to without him a year ago. Look for Watson to attack deep on a Pats secondary that has question marks at the corner position. Wideout Will Fuller should be in for a big day, a likely crucial part of the game plan, the speedsters’ attributes matched beautifully with Watson’s skill set a season ago (7 TDs in 4 games with Watson, 0 TDs in 6 games without Watson).

Tom Brady will be without his security blanket in slot man Julian Edelman, who faces a 4 game suspension. New England’s iffy o-line could be in for a tough outing as former All-Pro JJ Watt will be making his return to an already menacing front 7 for Houston. Still the greatest QB of all time has enough talent in his arsenal to pick apart a spotty Texans’ secondary and escape with a victory.

Score prediction: Patriots win 28-24

Betting Tips

While it will be hard for the Texans to defeat the Pats outright, giving DeShaun Watson 6 points to work with should be enough to get you through this point spread. A few big plays down the field to speedster Will Fuller, combined with DeAndre Hopkins doing damage in the red-zone, should keep the game close.

While Edelman will be missed, Patriots ranked second in PPG and first in total yards with him on the IR a season ago. Brady still has the best tight end, and one of the deeper backfields in football at his arsenal. He should put up points in chunks.

In 6 games with Watson at the helm, Houston averaged a whopping 34.7 ppg. Look for this to be a shootout, as both teams’ high-powered offenses should cause problems for the oppositions questionable defenses.

Odds

Match Handicap Total points
New England Patriots
Houston Texans

Statistics

Head to Head

The Patriots squeezed by Houston a year ago with 36-33 win. But throughout their last 10 matchups the Texans haven’t caused much of an issue, as the Patriots own a 9-1 record and the edge in every statistical category.

Stats

  • NE has scored at least 27 points in 9 out of their last 10 meetings with Houston, and at least 34 points in 6 of those games.
  • The total has gone over in 5 of Houston’s last 6 games against New England.
  • NE QB Tom Brady led the league in passing yard with 4577 in 2017.
  • HOU WR DeAndre Hopkins ranked 4th in the league in receiving yards (1,378) and tied for first in receiving TDs (13).v
  • HOU averaged 34.7 ppg in 6 games with Watson at QB opposed to 13 ppg without Watson.
  • In 2017 New England scored under 20 points only once and put up at least 30 points in 7 games.

 

 


About the Author

Vincent Somma has been involved in the football world from a young age. He played football for sixteen years, and has been involved in fantasy football leagues for most of that time as well. Vincent began to dabble in sports writing towards the end of his high school career, and has been writing ever since. His strongest forte is draft analysis and NFL coverage.




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