Houston Texans Vs New England Patriots: Predictions, Odds and Betting Tips

Houston Texans vs New England Patriots NFL

NFL Houston Texan vs New England Patriots

Sunday, September 9, 1:00pm Eastern Time
Gillette Stadium

Predictions | Betting Tips | Odds | Statistics

DeShaun Watson returns to the lineup ready to show the world that his Houston Texans are prepared to compete with the big dogs of the AFC.

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Houston gets back their rising star, DeShaun Watson, to spearhead what could be one of the best offenses in all of football. The Texans are a completely different team with Watson. They were +21.7 points with him as their starter, as opposed to without him a year ago. Look for Watson to attack deep on a Pats secondary that has question marks at the corner position. Wideout Will Fuller should be in for a big day, a likely crucial part of the game plan, the speedsters’ attributes matched beautifully with Watson’s skill set a season ago (7 TDs in 4 games with Watson, 0 TDs in 6 games without Watson).

Tom Brady will be without his security blanket in slot man Julian Edelman, who faces a 4 game suspension. New England’s iffy o-line could be in for a tough outing as former All-Pro JJ Watt will be making his return to an already menacing front 7 for Houston. Still the greatest QB of all time has enough talent in his arsenal to pick apart a spotty Texans’ secondary and escape with a victory.

Score prediction: Patriots win 28-24

Betting Tips

While it will be hard for the Texans to defeat the Pats outright, giving DeShaun Watson 6 points to work with should be enough to get you through this point spread. A few big plays down the field to speedster Will Fuller, combined with DeAndre Hopkins doing damage in the red-zone, should keep the game close.

While Edelman will be missed, Patriots ranked second in PPG and first in total yards with him on the IR a season ago. Brady still has the best tight end, and one of the deeper backfields in football at his arsenal. He should put up points in chunks.

In 6 games with Watson at the helm, Houston averaged a whopping 34.7 ppg. Look for this to be a shootout, as both teams’ high-powered offenses should cause problems for the oppositions questionable defenses.


Match Handicap Total points
New England Patriots
Houston Texans


Head to Head

The Patriots squeezed by Houston a year ago with 36-33 win. But throughout their last 10 matchups the Texans haven’t caused much of an issue, as the Patriots own a 9-1 record and the edge in every statistical category.


  • NE has scored at least 27 points in 9 out of their last 10 meetings with Houston, and at least 34 points in 6 of those games.
  • The total has gone over in 5 of Houston’s last 6 games against New England.
  • NE QB Tom Brady led the league in passing yard with 4577 in 2017.
  • HOU WR DeAndre Hopkins ranked 4th in the league in receiving yards (1,378) and tied for first in receiving TDs (13).v
  • HOU averaged 34.7 ppg in 6 games with Watson at QB opposed to 13 ppg without Watson.
  • In 2017 New England scored under 20 points only once and put up at least 30 points in 7 games.