Houston Texans Vs Jacksonville Jaguars: Predictions, Odds and Betting Tips
Sunday, 21 October 2018, 1:00 pm Eastern Time
TIAA Bank Field
After losing their first three games of the season, Houston has riled up three straight victories and is currently tied for first in the AFC South. Jacksonville on the other hand, has been dismantled over the past two weeks, losing both games and surrendering a combined 70 points.
Jacksonville is quickly looking like a one hit wonder. They have been a major disappointment thus far, with a combination of terrible defensive play and the Jekyll and Hyde quarterbacking of Blake Bortles. While TJ Yeldon has been formidable in place of the injured Leonard Fournette, and actually brings more to the passing game than Fournette, Jacksonville’s true identity is a tough defense and pound-the-ball down your throat offense. When you’re missing your jackhammer of a running back, you aren’t winning the time of possession. This, in return, keeps your defense on the field longer, and more likely to surrender points. Doug Marrone has stated that he “hopes Fournette can return” for this weeks outing with Houston, but it’s hard to trust someone that has missed all but two games this season and hasn’t finished a single game due to a wonky hamstring.
Houston, riding a three game win streak, hasn’t necessary look great, but is getting the job done. Their rushing offense has been abysmal, and D’Onta Foreman, once thought to be ready to remove from the PUP list and add a pop to the run game this week, is now unlikely to be healthy enough to be activated. Out wide, Will Fuller has now caught a total of four passes and no touchdowns over the last two weeks, after scoring at least one touchdown in every game he had played alongside DeShaun Watson. Watson now owns a TD-INT ratio of only 9-7. Jacksonville’s corners should get their hands on a few balls this week.
Overall, these two fairly underwhelming teams have been playing mistake-ridden football and will likely put the same brand of football on display come Sunday. Expect a low scoring, defensive game. If Jacksonville can hit one or two deep balls to DeDe Westbrook, that could be what puts them over the edge.
Score prediction: Jaguars win 20-17
All of Houston’s games this season have been close contests, and the score difference in those games average out to 4.7 points. The Texans have been on a hot streak these past few weeks, while the Jags have been on the literal opposite kind of streak. While Jacksonville has talent all over their defense, they are lucky to be favored after giving up an astonishing 70 points combined in the last two games. Give me five points and the combination of DeShaun Watson and DeAndre Hopkins.
This game will be won on defense, as both offenses have put up an average of 15 points per game over the past two weeks. Besides DeAndre Hopkins, it’s hard to trust any player that DeShaun Watson has in his offensive arsenal, and I don’t think anyone, even the Jags themselves, trust Blake Bortles.
Head to Head
This division rivalry has been played extremely close with Houston holding the slight edge of 6-4 over the last ten meetings. Jacksonville has, however, won the past two games, manhandling Houston with a combined score of 74-14.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston’s past 8 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston’s last 6 road games.
- Houston is 5-2 SU in their last 7 road meetings with Jacksonville.
- Jacksonville is 2-6 SU in their last 8 meetings with Houston.
- Houston’s JJ Watt is tied for the league lead in sacks with 7.
- Houston’s DeAndre Hopkins ranks third in the NFL with 657 yards receiving.