Germany vs Sweden Predictions, Odds and Betting Tips
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Match is over with the score:
2 – 1
23rd June 2018 – 14:00 ET
Group F – Sochi – TV: TSN
It’s extremely dangerous to write Germany off and they will come into this fixture with plenty to prove. They weren’t at their best against Mexico and they cannot afford to drop any more points here. Sweden are hugely impressive at the back, although there is occasionally a lack of mobility about their centre-backs. Italy’s conquerors regularly keep clean sheets but they lack potency in the final third and that was evident in their first Group F encounter. We expect Germany to bounce back here and secure a narrow victory. They can be backed at 1.34 with Intertops.
Germany vs Sweden Preview
Holders Germany got off to the worst possible start against Mexico. Joachim Low’s side looked out of sorts and found themselves caught on the break throughout the 90 minutes. Hirving Lozano netted the only goal of the game and the 2017 Confederations Cup-winners have plenty of work to do. They still possess a significant threat in the final third and they very rarely lose two games in a row.
Sweden were 1-0 winners against South Korea and survived a late onslaught from their opponents. A VAR-awarded penalty was the difference between the two sides and Janne Andersson’s side can take plenty of confidence from that display. They don’t concede many goals and are likely to be well-organised and disciplined throughout this game. Can they be the second successive side to keep Germany off the scoresheet?
Germany are amongst the favourites at the 2018 World Cup and Joachim Low’s side will be fancied to progress from Group F without any slip-ups. Sweden will also be aiming to follow them into the round of 16 and after disposing of Italy in the play-offs, they will fancy their chances of upsetting Joachim Low’s side. Can Janne Andersson’s side frustrate the holders at the Fisht Olympic Stadium?
Bodog have Germany as short-priced favourites for this clash and they can be backed at 1.33. The draw is available at 5.05 whilst a surprise Swedish victory is available at 9.00
There is plenty at stake and neither side will come into this game with a gung-ho approach. Germany weren’t particularly disciplined during their opening clash with Mexico and they are likely to have been working on their defensive shape this week.
Germany should sneak a victory here and it may be a narrow success. 1-0 and 2-0 wins are likely and can be backed at 5.50 and 6.50 with William Hill.
Germany vs Sweden Both Teams to Score Prediction
Sweden don’t do high-scoring games and they have played many matches in which both sides have failed to find the back of the net. Only two of their last twelve games in all competitions have seen BTTS land and this is likely to go the same way. They are tight at the back and they don’t give much away. They drew blanks in a number of friendlies and don’t possess that killer instinct. Both Teams to Score? No looks a good bet in this clash and can be backed at 1.59 with Sports Interaction.
Group F Standings
Sweden find themselves joint-top with Mexico after just one game. Both won 1-0, which means that the current goal difference is identical. Germany have work to do and are joint-bottom with South Korea.
- There have been eight goals in each of the last two meetings between these sides. Over 2.5 Goals is available at 1.84 with Sports Interaction
- Sweden haven’t beaten Germany since they met at the 1958 World Cup
- Sweden kept South Korea’s chances to a minimum during their first Group F game. The Asian side had no shots on target during the match
- Germany had over 15 shots in their 1-0 defeat to Mexico and also had 66% possession
- Sweden scored just a single goal in their three group games at Euro 2016. It was an own goal by a Republic of Ireland defender
Why should I bet on Germany against Sweden?
With Germany losing their opening group match, the remaining fixtures in Group F could be very interesting indeed. Sweden come into this match having already gained three points from their opening match and would regard a draw as a very good result in their quest for round of 16 qualification. Germany, on the other hand, need a win and will hope that the problems that plagued them throughout the Mexico match will not be repeated. 888Sport are offering 4/11 on a Germany win that would bring marginal returns.
Germany need nothing less than a victory in this match and Sweden will probably play it tight knowing that their European opponents cannot afford to make any mistakes. Joachim Low is likely to go with a very similar line up as in the Mexico game and will be expecting much better performances from his men here. Sweden will defend resolutely but expect Germany to get off the mark in this one. Thomas Muller has the most World Cup goals of any current player and 888Sport are offering good value on the German attacker getting the first goal against Sweden
With so much resting on the second round of fixtures this could be a particularly tight game. Germany only allowed four goals in their entire qualifying campaign so will be hoping that their defensive quality will return after the disaster against Mexico. Sweden are also able to get players behind the ball and will possibly have one eye on their own Mexico match after their victory over South Korea. Expect a tense game between these northern European sides with neither side wanting to make a mistake. 888Sport are offering 6/1 on Germany to win 1-0 and that looks like excellent value.
Head to Head
- These two sides have met frequently and their most recent meetings have been relatively high-scoring affairs. Sweden haven’t beaten Germany since 1942 and they have never triumphed in any of their competitive meetings.
- Recent results:
- Sweden 3-5 Germany – 15/10/2013
- Germany 4-4 Sweden – 16/10/2012
- Sweden 0-0 Germany – 17/11/2010
- Germany 3-0 Sweden – 15/08/2006
World Cup Qualifiers
Germany were imperious during qualifying and they eased their way to Russia by topping UEFA Group C. They didn’t drop a single point in ten games and they finished 11 points ahead of Northern Ireland. Their defence was watertight and conceded just four times during qualifying. They ended with a goal difference of +39 and looked a formidable force.
Thomas Muller – 5 Goals – 25.00 with 888Sport to finish as top goalscorer at the 2018 World Cup
Sandro Wagner – 5 Goals – Retired from international football
Timo Werner – 3 Goals – 32.00 with Sports Interaction to finish as top goalscorer at the 2018 World Cup
Sweden were drawn in a tough-looking Group A alongside France and the Netherlands and weren’t expected to make it to Russia. They ended up finishing second behind Les Bleus collecting 19 points. They edged out the Netherlands on goal difference. They were written off in the play-offs but somehow managed to secure a 1-0 aggregate victory over Italy, sending shockwaves around the footballing world.
Marcus Berg – 8 Goals – 100.00 with Betway to finish as top goalscorer at the 2018 World Cup
Emil Forsberg – 4 Goals – 195.00 with Sports Interaction to finish as top goalscorer at the 2018 World Cup
Goalkeepers – Manuel Neuer, Kevin Trapp, Marc-Andre Ter Stegen
Defenders – Joshua Kimmich, Mats Hummels, Jerome Boateng, Matthias Ginter, Jonas Hector, Antonio Rudiger, Niklas Sule, Marvin Plattenhardt.
Midfielders – Julian Brandt, Julian Draxler, Leon Goretska, Ilkay Gundogan, Sami Khedira, Toni Kroos, Mesut Ozil, Sebastian Rudy.
Forwards – Thomas Muller, Mario Gomez, Marco Reus, Timo Werner.
Goalkeepers – Robin Olsen, Karl-Johan Johnsson, Kristoffer Nordfeldt.
Defenders – Mikael Lustig, Victor Lindelhof, Martin Olsson, Ludwig Augustinsson, Filip Helander, Andreas Grandqvist, Pontus Jansson, Emil Krafth.
Midfielders – Sebastian Larsson, Albin Ekdal, Emil Forsberg, Viktor Claesson, Gustav Svensson, Oscar Hiljemark, Marcus Rohden, Jimmy Durmaz.
Forwards – Marcus Berg, John Guidetti, Ola Toivonen, Isaac Kiese Thelin.
at 10.00 a.m – Sochi Stadium