GB Packers at NE Patriots: Predictions, Odds and Betting Tips
Sunday 11/4 8:20 PM (ET),
Aaron Rodgers is sour after Ty Montgomery robbed him. Now, with all of us watching, they have a chance at another A-Rod comeback. Meanwhile, the Patriots struggled to pull away from the abysmal Buffalo Bills until the 4th quarter on Monday night.
It seemed like the Packers were going to be the first team to knock off the still undefeated LA Rams. That is until Ty Montgomery ignored coaches’ orders of taking a knee, and instead took the kick return out of the end zone and proceeded to cough up the ball, along with any hopes of a Green Bay win. The loss was a tough blow, but the Packers showed that they are a threat to come away victorious in any game. A big reason for Green Bay’s success in week 8 was the coaching staff finally committing to Aaron Jones as their lead back. Jones is the obvious superior talent in the Pack’s backfield, and now with Montgomery shipped off to Baltimore, he should continue to see his snap count increase.
The most important player on the New England Patriots roster may be Sony Michel. Michel has been a stud since taking over as the lead back in New England, rushing for at least 98 yards in three consecutive games. The loss of Michel was an obviously crushing blow to the Patriots game plan on Monday night. The Pats resorted to Cordarrelle Patterson, a wide receiver, to shoulder the load in the run game with Michele out. It was obvious that is something that cannot continue.
Rob Gronkowski’s back injury is looking more serious than some have believed. He has been less effective as of late, and looks less fluid coming in and out of his routes. Yet, with all the bad news surrounding the Pats, they should be able to knock off the Packers at home. Michel hopes to return to the field come Sunday night. Green Bay shipped off safety HaHa Clinton-Dix at the trade deadline, leaving a big hole down the seam of the Packers defense. Expect Brady to attack new starter Jermaine Whitehead, and fellow safety Kentrell Brice early, and often. If Gronk wants to announce to the world that he’s the Gronk of old, this would be the game.
Score prediction: Patriots Win 31-27
Any time you get Aaron Rodgers, and points, it’s usually a safe bet. The average Packers score margin over the past two weeks is 2.5 points. Rodgers will keep things very interesting in Foxborough. His receiving core is finally back to being fully healthy, while Green Bay is beginning to have a semblance of a run game, which is something the Packers have lacked for the majority of Rodgers’ tenure.
Two of the greatest quarterbacks in NFL history will battle it out on Sunday night. Brady gets a Green Bay secondary that is shifting new bodies into the starting lineup, while Rodgers gets the 25th ranked total defense. It’s safe to say points will be scored.
Head to Head
The Packers have owned the Patriots over the past six games, going 4-2. The most recent matchup between these two storied franchises took place back in 2014. The Packers defeated the Patriots that day, to the tune of 26-21.
- Green Bay is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games.
- Green Bay is 3-6-1 SU in its last 10 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 10 of Green Bay’s last 10 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of Green Bay’s past 8 road games.
- New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
- New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
- New England is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 home games.
- New England is 11-1 SU in its last 12 home games.