BAL Ravens at KC Chiefs Week 14: Predictions, Odds and Betting Tips

BAL Ravens at KC Chiefs
 

BAL Ravens at KC Chiefs
Sunday 12/9 1:00 PM (ET),
Arrowhead Stadium

Predictions | Betting Tips | Odds | Statistics


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A quarterback decision is looming in Baltimore as Joe Flacco returned to practice this week. On the other side of the field, possibly the league’s best quarterback, Pat Mahomes, looks to pad his MVP resume vs. the league’s top ranked defense.

Predictions

While Joe Flacco made his return to the practice field this week, it still remains unclear if he will be making his return to the top of the depth chart anytime soon. Lamar Jackson has dazzled in Flacco’s absence, rallying the Ravens to three consecutive wins and putting them in the driver’s seat of the 6th and final playoff spot in the AFC. While Jackson still lacks consistency as a passer, he has more than made up for it as a runner. In the three games Jackson has started, he has rushed for a whopping 265 yards and two touchdowns. Jackson isn’t the only rookie who’s shined in Flacco’s absence. After rushing the ball just 15 times over the first ten weeks of the season, Edwards has burst on to the scene, touting the rock a total of 61 times over the last three games, averaging 105 ypg.

With Kareem Hunt gone in Kansas City, the Chiefs no longer have the run game to match Baltimore’s, but that’s ok because they posses a passing game that is unmatched by anyone. Pat Mahomes has tossed nine more touchdowns than the next best total in the league, with an astonishing 41 TDs through 13 weeks. Unfortunately the explosive offense of Kansas City doesn’t give the Chiefs defense much time to rest, and it shows in the stats. The Chiefs rank second-to-last in total defense, a far cry from Baltimore’s top ranked unit.

While Baltimore has the upper hand in a few spots over Kansas City, their lack of a passing game will be the final nail in the coffin for the Ravens come Sunday. While Baltimore’s stout defense may force Mahomes into a few turnovers, it won’t force Mahomes, nor Andy Reid, to stay on the attack. Kansas City’s top ranked scoring offense will do as they’ve done all year, put up points. Lamar Jackson will be forced to turn himself into a pass-first QB in an attempt to keep pace with KC, something he is not comfortable doing. This will likely lead to Jackson’s first “welcome to the NFL” moment, and to another Kansas City victory.

Score prediction: Chiefs win 31-24

Betting Tips

This is a close call, as I currently have the Chiefs winning by seven points. Kansas City is undefeated at home this season, and their offense is the most high-octane unit in all of football. They showed no sign of slowing down a week ago, despite the loss of Kareem Hunt. Lamar Jackson’s struggles as a passer will be put on notice, as he attempts to go shot for shot with Mahomes, something he is not currently capable of doing.

Kansas City averages a league-best 37 ppg, and has scored and average of 45.5 points over their past two games. As many points as Kansas City scores on offense, their defense does their best to allow teams to stay in the game, allowing the sixth most points in the NFL. Since Lamar Jackson has taken over as the Raven’s QB, the team has averaged a highly respectable 28 ppg.

Statistics

Head to Head

Baltimore holds a slight 5-4 edge over Kansas City in their past nine games. The Chiefs captured the victory in their last matchup, a 34-14 victory that dates back to the 2015 season.

Stats

  • Baltimore is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.
  • Baltimore is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games vs. Kansas City.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore’s last 7 games when playing the Chiefs in Kansas City.
  • Kansas City is 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games.
  • Kansas City is 4-2 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. Baltimore.
  • Kansas City is 5-0 SU in their last 5 home games.

 


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