Atlanta Falcons Vs Philadelphia Eagles: Predictions, Odds and Betting Tips
Thursday, September 6th, 8:20 pm Eastern Time
Lincoln Financial Field
The Eagles look to begin the defense of their Super Bowl title the same way they won it, without their starting quarterback.
Nick Foles has been pegged as the week 1 starter over Carson Wentz. Wentz isn’t the only star that Philly will be missing, as wide receiver Alshon Jeffery will likely also be inactive vs. Atlanta.
Look for Philly to keep Nick Foles in his comfort zone, which means a lot of RPOs (run, pass option) and leaning on their potent rushing attack (3rd in NFL in 2017). Nelson Agholor should see a stellar amount of looks serving as the team’s number 1 wideout. Agholor’s quickness could cause some mismatch issues for Atlanta and their nickelback Brian Poole.
The Falcons should show improvements in year 2 of the Steve Sarkisian offense. Expect a lot of 3 wide receiver sets, to get rookie Calvin Ridley on the field along side Julio Jones and Mohamed Sanu. While Atlanta will spread it out to get their wideouts involved, the effects of moving Eagles safety Malcolm Jenkins out of the box with the pass should lead to open running lanes for Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman.
There may be big names on the offensive side for both Atlanta and Philly, but these are also two teams that ranked in the top 9 defensively a season ago. Expect this game to be won on the ground, in a tight, moderately low scoring affair.
Score prediction: Falcons win 20-19
Nick Foles saw his struggles throughout the preseason, and it seems as if defenses have started to catch on to the Eagles RPO scheme. Look for Atlanta to stack up the middle and force Foles to beat them, which could lead to a turnover or two.
Atlanta’s evenly distributed firepower on offense should help them escape with a win.
Philly will be missing two of their top playmakers, and will likely lean on their run game behind the likes of Jay Ajayi and Corey Clement. Atlanta has had a recent history of struggling to put the ball in the endzone. Look for it to be a fairly low scoring game.
- The score total has gone UNDER in 5 of the Falcons last 5 games.
- In 10 of the last 13 outings between Philly and Atlanta the score has gone UNDER in 10 of them.
- PHI QB Nick Foles had an 11-3 td-to-int ratio last year (including playoffs).
- Philly went 5-1 with Nick Foles as their starter a year ago. Only loss came in week 17 where he was pulled early, due to the game having no playoff implications.
- ATL WR Julio Jones has only 9 TD over his last 30 games.
ATL QB Matt Ryan has thrown under 2 TD passes in each of his last 8 games (including playoffs).
Head to Head
Atlanta starts the season where they finished it a season ago, in Philadelphia. The Falcons failed to make it into the endzone in the last minute of play, giving the Eagles a 15-10 win and punching their ticket to the NFC title game.
The Eagles hold the edge over the last 10 meetings with a 6-4 record. In the last 3 outings (Philly 2-1) Philly has the upper hand in every offensive statistical category.