2018 Soccer World Cup – Top Goal Scorer Betting Odds

The Top Goal Scorer betting markets provide odds for the best striker at the World Cup. It’s one of the most popular sports betting markets for the Cup as it comes with value odds compared to other markets. The Top Goal Scorer award in Russia 2018 will be awarded to the player with the most goals scored throughout the World Cup.

2018 World Cup Top Goal Scorer Odds:

Below is a table of the current betting odds at Australian betting sites for the top five favourites. These odds can change during the tournament so betting before the World Cup starts will mean you receive the best odds possible.

  Bet365 Odds Cetrebet Odds BetFair Odds
Lionel Messi
Antoine Griezmann
Cristiano Ronaldo
Harry Kane
Timo Werner
Gabriel Jesus
Sergio Aguero
Alvaro Morata
Romelu Lukaku

How it works

The Top Goal Scorer markets will include all matches played in Russia 2018. So it’s best to stick with players from teams that can make it past the Group stage as a general rule. Penalty goals will also count towards each player’s tally. With every match played, the odds will fluctuate based on the results. In the case of a tie-break between players, the goal scorer with the most assists will be awarded Top Goal Scorer. If they are also tied on assists, the player with less playing time will be deemed the winner.

Our predictions:

Lionel Messi from Argentina is currently the best predicted goal scorer at 12%. He has scored in 50% of his appearances for Argentina and his country will be expecting at least a Semi-final berth. Cristiano Ronaldo is next best at 11% for Portugal. He has scored 79 goals in 147 matches for his country and should offer value if Portugal can reach the latter stages.

Neymar from Brazil is predicted at 9% to win the top goal scorer market in 2018. He has scored 53 goals in 83 matches for Brazil. In the 2014 World Cup, he tied with Lionel Messi with four goals apiece so he should be around the top goal scorers again. Next best is Antoine Griezmann from France at 8%. The 26 year old plays for Atletico Madrid and has scored 19 goals in 49 appearances for his country. At Euro 2016, he won the top goalscorer award with 6 goals and 2 assists in 7 matches. So he’ll be a key player for France and should be well in contention for this award. Rounding out the top five is Gabriel Jesus from Brazil. He is currently just 20 years old and will play in his first World Cup. In his short time at International level, he has already scored 8 goals in 13 matches for Brazil. He plays for Manchester City in the EPL and has scored 15 goals in just 28 matches. He led Brazil in the Qualifiers with 7 goals in 10 matches and will be a player to watch in 2018. Especially since Brazil is expected to reach the final.

Quick guide to betting

Groups – The teams with the most chance to advance to the knockout stages are better options for the top goal scorer. For example, Harry Kane is a great striker for England, but they may not quality for the next stage. So, it’s a better strategy to stick with players from Brazil and Germany as an example.

History – Looking at the last few World Cups, it’s hard to bet against the likes of Messi and Neymar. The best strikers in the World usually step up in this competition and betting on the favourites is a safe strategy.

Opposition – Look for teams that have easy opponents in the group stages. For example, Brazil and Germany are playing a few easy matches in the early rounds. Therefore, Neymar and Werner will have more opportunities to score goals.

Top scorers interesting facts:

Check out some of the more interesting facts about goal scoring at the World Cup.

1st player to score in a WC

Lucien Laurent from France was the first goal scorer in World Cup history. It was back in 1930 against Mexico in a 4-1 victory for the French.

Fastest goal

The fastest goal in World Cup history took place in 2002 when Turkey’s Hakan Sukur scored in just 10.89 seconds against the host nation (Korea).

Latest goal

The latest goal has occurred twice in the 121st minute. Firstly in 2006 by Alessandro Del Piero for Italy. Then in 2014, Abdelmoumene Djabou scored in the same minute against Germany.

Most goals

The current leading goal scorer at the World Cup is Germany’s Miroslav Klose with 16 goals in 24 matches. The next best is Ronaldo from Brazil with 15 goals in 19 matches. Thomas Muller is the active leader with 10 goals in 13 matches.

All time world scorers

There is only two all-time goal scorers with over 1000 goals – Arthur Friedenreich (Brazil) with 1329 goals and Pele (Brazil) with 1281 goals.

Back to Top ↑