State of Origin 1 – Preview, Odds, Predictions – June 6 MCG

Holden State of Origin

Holden State of Origin


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Its been widely tipped that Queensland’s Maroons (QLD) don’t stand a chance against the New South Wales (NSW) Blues in the opening match of the 2018 State of Origin series at the MCG on Wednesday night.

It appears to be a period of transition for both teams and the bookies have quite correctly assessed that NSW have the stronger side on paper for Game 1;

Best Odds:

New South Wales $1.60 $1.60 $1.58
Queensland $2.40 $2.40  $2.42


If only matches were played on paper, we’d all be millionaires with our tips and sports betting. Anyone who has been following the NRL season in 2018 is acutely aware that it has been a tipster’s nightmare. Don’t expect State of Origin to be any different.

Head-to-head betting tips

The market suggests that QLD’s incredible era of dominance will end in the 2018 State of Origin Series. Consequently, NSW are the clear favourites in the State of Origin Game 1 betting market at $1.60 with Betstar.

The issue is that NSW have let them down their fans on so many occasions in recent years. However, this is a new look Blues outfit that doesn’t have the mental scars of past losses.


Addo-Carr, Mitchell and ‘Jimmy-the-Jet’ Roberts all have speed-to-burn and this will be a very tough defensive test for Greg Inglis, Will Chambers, Dane Gagai and Valentine Holmes for QLD.


The NSW forward pack is picked to out-muscle QLD and there is a chance they will batter QLD up-the-middle, as in the opening game last year.


There is no doubt that NSW have the edge on paper.
Fortunately for QLD ($2.40), games are not played on paper.


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Best-bet for State of Origin Game 1

That said, this young-and-inexperienced QLD side might get blown away at the MCG to begin with. Look for the young Maroons to battle back and get within the 1-12 points margin at $2.75 and go down bravely to the Blues in Game 1. They’ll be better for Game 2.