Max Holloway vs Frankie Edgar: Betting Tips, Odds & Predictions

UFC 240 Mac Holloway vs Frankie Edgar
Max Holloway vs Frankie Edgar, UFC 240, Featherweight·Main event, Rogers Place

After his failed attempt to become a two-weight world champion against Dustin Poirier, Max Holloway is aiming to reaffirm his dominance over the featherweight division against Frankie Edgar, who has two-weight title ambitions of his own.

Tale of the tape

UFC Max Holloway

UFC Frankie Edgar

Max Holloway
20-4-0

Frankie Edgar
23-6-1

27 Age 37
5.9 ft Height 5.5 ft
155 lbs Weight 145 lbs
69 in Reach 68 in

Our Betting Tips

Max ‘Blessed’ Holloway stakes a genuine claim to being the best featherweight in UFC history, and a victory over former lightweight champion Frankie ‘The Answer’ Edgar will only serve to back that up. Holloway may have lost his lightweight interim title bout to Poirier – who fought like a man possessed at UFC 236 in April – but the Hawaii native is a heavy odds-on favourite to retain his 145-pound crown in Edmonton this weekend.

FIGHT TO FINISH INSIDE THE DISTANCE

Blessed had won 13 fights in a row before his attempt at stepping up in weight, and he last tasted defeat in the featherweight ranks when he lost a decision to Conor McGregor back in 2013. Only 22 at that point, Holloway has carved out a place in history in the years since, with his relentless energy and pressing marking him out as a future Hall of Famer.

FIGHT TO FINISH BY KO OR TKO

The Answer has an incredibly tough night ahead of him, although he boasts supreme fitness for a 37-year-old. That helped the challenger to a decision victory over Cub Swanson in his last fight, which was also in April, although the New Jersey-born Edgar suffered a first-round KO at the hands of Brian Ortega the month before.

HOLLOWAY TO WIN BY KO OR TKO

Holloway meanwhile stopped Ortega in the fourth round in his last fight at 145 pounds, which came on the back of his pair of victories over former kingpin Jose Aldo – who beat Edgar in 2013 and 2016. With 10 of his 20 victories coming by way of knockout, Blessed is usually best and his incredible work rate means he never gives his opponent any time to settle. Edgar is a seasoned campaigner ranked as the #4 featherweight contender, and as an accomplished wrestler it would appear that taking this fight to the ground represents his only real chance of success.

EDGAR TO WIN BY SUBMISSION

Well on his way to greatness, it’s very difficult to see Holloway losing to Edgar this weekend. Blessed is a ferocious competitor with incredible striking and his relentless pressure is likely to be too much for his opponent. Edgar has to use his wrestling skills to stand any chance, but Holloway has excellent takedown defence and is the heavy favourite with all of the best betting sites to successfully defend his title at UFC 240.

Best Odds

Max Holloway
Frankie Edgar
betstar
ladbrokes

Statistics

  • This is the third time a bout between these fighters has been scheduled, with each man pulling out due to injury – Edgar in 2017 and Holloway the following year.
  • Holloway lands a stunning average of 6.9 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy of 46%, showing he’s much busier than Edgar who lands 3.59 at 40%.
  • Holloway also leads the takedown stats, with a 67% accuracy compared to Edgar’s 34%.
  • Holloway boasts an 83% takedown defence, once again bettering Edgar’s number which is 66%.
  • Holloway has only lost one of his last 14 fights, while Edgar has five losses in the same number of contests.
  • Edgar averages 2.47 takedowns per 15 minutes, which is significantly higher than Holloway’s 0.32.

Our Prediction for Max Holloway vs Frankie Edgar

Max Holloway to win the fight

Blessed has all the tools to see off yet another pretender to his featherweight throne. He has the big-fight experience, an accomplished skill set, ferocious intensity and the accuracy to go with it. This has the potential to be a very difficult night for Edgar who is a tough guy and can certainly mix it with two KO’s in his last six fights.

However, you only have to look at the opponents Holloway has beaten that Edgar’s lost to. The champ is running out of challengers, and while Edgar may be worth his shot, the odds are massively stacked against The Answer having a jolly night at Rogers Place.

John Abrams is a passionate sports fanatic who follows NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAF, NCAAB and Formula 1. A former sports trader, John has an unquestioned thirst for sports knowledge and often fills his time playing fantasy or placing wagers online.

All Predictions by John Abrams

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